Spirit Telecom (Australia) Price Prediction

ST1 Stock   0.06  0  3.45%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Spirit Telecom's share price is approaching 44. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Spirit Telecom, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

44

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Spirit Telecom's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Spirit Telecom, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Spirit Telecom's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(1.00)
Wall Street Target Price
0.14
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.15
Using Spirit Telecom hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Spirit Telecom from the perspective of Spirit Telecom response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Spirit Telecom to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Spirit because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Spirit Telecom after-hype prediction price

    
  AUD 0.06  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Spirit Telecom Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.053.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.063.66
Details

Spirit Telecom After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Spirit Telecom at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Spirit Telecom or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Spirit Telecom, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Spirit Telecom Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Spirit Telecom's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Spirit Telecom's historical news coverage. Spirit Telecom's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 3.66, respectively. We have considered Spirit Telecom's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.06
0.06
After-hype Price
3.66
Upside
Spirit Telecom is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Spirit Telecom is based on 3 months time horizon.

Spirit Telecom Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Spirit Telecom is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Spirit Telecom backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Spirit Telecom, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.20 
3.60
 0.00  
  0.02 
2 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.06
0.06
3.45 
360,000  
Notes

Spirit Telecom Hype Timeline

Spirit Telecom is at this time traded for 0.06on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Spirit is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.06 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 3.45%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Spirit Telecom is about 4800.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.08. Spirit Telecom has accumulated 38.82 M in total debt. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Spirit Telecom Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Spirit Telecom Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Spirit Telecom's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Spirit Telecom's future price movements. Getting to know how Spirit Telecom's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Spirit Telecom may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NABPINational Australia Bank(0.24)2 per month 0.68 (0.15) 0.47 (0.62) 4.42 
NABPFNational Australia Bank 0.00 0 per month 0.25 (0.51) 0.38 (0.41) 0.94 
WBCPMWestpac Banking 0.10 2 per month 0.40 (0.19) 0.80 (0.75) 3.22 
NABPHNational Australia Bank 0.00 0 per month 0.17 (0.45) 0.46 (0.36) 1.08 
CBAPMCommonwealth Bank of 0.20 1 per month 0.42 (0.21) 0.71 (0.71) 3.33 
CBACommonwealth Bank 0.89 3 per month 1.16  0.09  1.69 (2.23) 4.67 
AN3PKANZ Group Holdings(0.08)1 per month 0.11 (0.37) 0.43 (0.42) 1.22 
CBAPJCommonwealth Bank of 0.00 0 per month 0.37 (0.26) 0.56 (0.59) 2.02 
NABNational Australia Bank 0.03 1 per month 1.20  0.03  1.59 (2.13) 5.25 
AN3PIANZ Group Holdings(0.15)2 per month 0.61 (0.19) 0.71 (0.70) 4.22 

Spirit Telecom Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Spirit price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Spirit using various technical indicators. When you analyze Spirit charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Spirit Telecom Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Spirit Telecom stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Spirit Telecom, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Spirit Telecom based on analysis of Spirit Telecom hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Spirit Telecom's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Spirit Telecom's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Spirit Telecom

The number of cover stories for Spirit Telecom depends on current market conditions and Spirit Telecom's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Spirit Telecom is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Spirit Telecom's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Spirit Telecom Short Properties

Spirit Telecom's future price predictability will typically decrease when Spirit Telecom's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Spirit Telecom often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Spirit Telecom's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Spirit Telecom's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding919.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments8.9 M

Additional Tools for Spirit Stock Analysis

When running Spirit Telecom's price analysis, check to measure Spirit Telecom's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Spirit Telecom is operating at the current time. Most of Spirit Telecom's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Spirit Telecom's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Spirit Telecom's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Spirit Telecom to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.