Silvercorp Metals Stock Price Prediction
| SVM Stock | USD 3.34 0.08 2.34% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
32
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.45 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.21 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.26 | Wall Street Target Price 6 |
Using Silvercorp Metals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Silvercorp Metals from the perspective of Silvercorp Metals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Silvercorp Metals to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Silvercorp because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Silvercorp Metals after-hype prediction price | USD 3.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Silvercorp |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Silvercorp Metals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Silvercorp Metals After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Silvercorp Metals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Silvercorp Metals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Silvercorp Metals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Silvercorp Metals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Silvercorp Metals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Silvercorp Metals' historical news coverage. Silvercorp Metals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.17 and 7.44, respectively. We have considered Silvercorp Metals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Silvercorp Metals is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Silvercorp Metals is based on 3 months time horizon.
Silvercorp Metals Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Silvercorp Metals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Silvercorp Metals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Silvercorp Metals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 4.14 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 11 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.34 | 3.34 | 0.00 |
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Silvercorp Metals Hype Timeline
On the 26th of November Silvercorp Metals is traded for 3.34. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Silvercorp is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Silvercorp Metals is about 82800.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.34. About 41.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.06. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Silvercorp Metals last dividend was issued on the 29th of November 2024. The entity had 3:1 split on the 29th of October 2007. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Silvercorp Metals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Silvercorp Metals Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Silvercorp Metals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Silvercorp Metals' future price movements. Getting to know how Silvercorp Metals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Silvercorp Metals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FTCO | Fortitude Gold Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.29 | 0.10 | 3.19 | (2.33) | 16.65 | |
| GLDG | GoldMining | (0.01) | 2 per month | 1.74 | (0.01) | 4.26 | (2.91) | 11.50 |
Silvercorp Metals Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Silvercorp price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Silvercorp using various technical indicators. When you analyze Silvercorp charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Silvercorp Metals Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Silvercorp Metals stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Silvercorp Metals, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Silvercorp Metals based on analysis of Silvercorp Metals hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Silvercorp Metals's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Silvercorp Metals's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Silvercorp Metals
The number of cover stories for Silvercorp Metals depends on current market conditions and Silvercorp Metals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Silvercorp Metals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Silvercorp Metals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Silvercorp Metals Short Properties
Silvercorp Metals' future price predictability will typically decrease when Silvercorp Metals' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Silvercorp Metals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Silvercorp Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Silvercorp Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 179.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 184.9 M |
Check out Silvercorp Metals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Silvercorp Stock, please use our How to Invest in Silvercorp Metals guide.You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Silvercorp Metals. If investors know Silvercorp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Silvercorp Metals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.45 | Dividend Share 0.013 | Earnings Share 0.29 | Revenue Per Share 1.313 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.26 |
The market value of Silvercorp Metals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Silvercorp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Silvercorp Metals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Silvercorp Metals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Silvercorp Metals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Silvercorp Metals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Silvercorp Metals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Silvercorp Metals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Silvercorp Metals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.