Huntsman Stock Price Patterns
| HUN Stock | USD 13.20 0.53 3.86% |
Momentum 66
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.206 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.22) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.68) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.33) | Wall Street Target Price 10.8077 |
Using Huntsman hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Huntsman from the perspective of Huntsman response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Huntsman using Huntsman's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Huntsman using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Huntsman's stock price.
Huntsman Short Interest
An investor who is long Huntsman may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Huntsman and may potentially protect profits, hedge Huntsman with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 10.5105 | Short Percent 0.1228 | Short Ratio 4.73 | Shares Short Prior Month 17.3 M | 50 Day MA 10.7536 |
Huntsman Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Huntsman's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Huntsman. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Huntsman can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Huntsman. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Huntsman's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Huntsman.
Huntsman Implied Volatility | 0.79 |
Huntsman's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Huntsman stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Huntsman's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Huntsman stock will not fluctuate a lot when Huntsman's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Huntsman to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Huntsman because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Huntsman after-hype prediction price | USD 13.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Huntsman contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Huntsman will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0494% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Huntsman trading at USD 13.2, that is roughly USD 0.006517 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Huntsman's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Huntsman options at the current volatility level of 0.79%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Huntsman Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Huntsman's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Huntsman After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Huntsman at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Huntsman or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Huntsman, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Huntsman Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Huntsman's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Huntsman's historical news coverage. Huntsman's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.93 and 16.95, respectively. We have considered Huntsman's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Huntsman is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Huntsman is based on 3 months time horizon.
Huntsman Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Huntsman is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Huntsman backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Huntsman, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.85 | 3.54 | 0.24 | 0.47 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
13.20 | 13.44 | 1.82 |
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Huntsman Hype Timeline
On the 6th of February Huntsman is traded for 13.20. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.24, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.47. Huntsman is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 13.44 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 1.82%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.85%. The volatility of related hype on Huntsman is about 635.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.67. The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.04 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (100 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 775 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Huntsman Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Huntsman Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Huntsman's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Huntsman's future price movements. Getting to know how Huntsman's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Huntsman may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BAK | Braskem SA Class | (0.14) | 5 per month | 2.99 | 0.12 | 8.68 | (4.93) | 27.76 | |
| CC | Chemours Co | 0.24 | 9 per month | 2.76 | 0.11 | 6.09 | (5.27) | 16.17 | |
| IPX | IperionX Limited American | 2.21 | 10 per month | 5.07 | (0.0003) | 7.31 | (8.29) | 18.56 | |
| ASPI | ASP Isotopes Common | 0.02 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 16.16 | (10.73) | 29.92 | |
| SVM | Silvercorp Metals | (0.65) | 9 per month | 4.13 | 0.14 | 8.12 | (6.03) | 27.66 | |
| VZLA | Vizsla Resources Corp | (0.01) | 10 per month | 5.94 | 0.03 | 7.64 | (13.01) | 27.19 | |
| TGB | Taseko Mines | 0.02 | 11 per month | 3.67 | 0.19 | 7.32 | (6.47) | 23.21 | |
| KALU | Kaiser Aluminum | 1.90 | 10 per month | 1.49 | 0.24 | 4.73 | (2.75) | 9.28 | |
| LAC | Lithium Americas Corp | (0.09) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 8.11 | (8.70) | 19.72 | |
| CRML | Critical Metals Corp | 2.07 | 10 per month | 8.01 | 0.02 | 20.25 | (13.94) | 50.50 |
Huntsman Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Huntsman price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Huntsman using various technical indicators. When you analyze Huntsman charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Huntsman Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Huntsman stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Huntsman, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Huntsman based on analysis of Huntsman hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Huntsman's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Huntsman's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0379 | 0.0561 | 0.0505 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.73 | 0.51 | 0.59 |
Pair Trading with Huntsman
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Huntsman position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Huntsman will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Huntsman Stock
| 0.83 | CC | Chemours | PairCorr |
| 0.85 | DD | Dupont De Nemours Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.89 | EMN | Eastman Chemical | PairCorr |
Moving against Huntsman Stock
| 0.85 | MAPSW | WM Technology | PairCorr |
| 0.78 | GCMGW | GCM Grosvenor | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | ALMET | Methanor | PairCorr |
| 0.7 | ADVWW | Advantage Solutions | PairCorr |
| 0.55 | PCTTW | PureCycle Technologies | PairCorr |
| 0.35 | GOEVW | Canoo Holdings | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Huntsman could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Huntsman when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Huntsman - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Huntsman to buy it.
The correlation of Huntsman is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Huntsman moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Huntsman moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Huntsman can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Huntsman Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Huntsman Stock, please use our How to Invest in Huntsman guide.You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Will Diversified Chemicals sector continue expanding? Could Huntsman diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Huntsman. Market participants price Huntsman higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Huntsman data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.206 | Dividend Share 1 | Earnings Share (1.82) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
Huntsman's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Huntsman's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Huntsman's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Huntsman's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Huntsman's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Huntsman is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Huntsman's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.