Comerica Stock Price Prediction
CMA Stock | USD 71.09 2.19 3.18% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
70
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.28) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.15 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.3287 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.4179 | Wall Street Target Price 68.1114 |
Using Comerica hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Comerica from the perspective of Comerica response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Comerica Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Comerica's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Comerica. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Comerica can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Comerica. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Comerica's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Comerica.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Comerica to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Comerica because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Comerica after-hype prediction price | USD 71.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Comerica |
Comerica After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Comerica at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Comerica or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Comerica, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Comerica Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Comerica's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Comerica's historical news coverage. Comerica's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 68.86 and 73.14, respectively. We have considered Comerica's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Comerica is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Comerica is based on 3 months time horizon.
Comerica Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Comerica is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Comerica backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Comerica, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.39 | 2.14 | 0.09 | 0.05 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
71.09 | 71.00 | 0.13 |
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Comerica Hype Timeline
On the 24th of November Comerica is traded for 71.09. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Comerica is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 71.0. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.39%. The volatility of related hype on Comerica is about 1712.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 71.04. About 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.34. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Comerica has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.32. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 2024. The firm had 3:2 split on the 2nd of April 1998. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Comerica Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Comerica Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Comerica's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Comerica's future price movements. Getting to know how Comerica's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Comerica may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
WAL | Western Alliance Bancorporation | (1.41) | 11 per month | 2.13 | 0.07 | 4.19 | (3.17) | 19.53 | |
KEY | KeyCorp | 0.10 | 7 per month | 1.36 | 0.07 | 3.06 | (2.54) | 19.76 | |
PACW | PacWest Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 11.32 | 0.05 | 17.58 | (14.58) | 104.70 | |
TFC | Truist Financial Corp | (0.30) | 11 per month | 1.17 | 0.06 | 2.46 | (2.46) | 12.77 | |
ZION | Zions Bancorporation | 0.59 | 11 per month | 1.49 | 0.10 | 3.62 | (2.89) | 20.65 | |
HBAN | Huntington Bancshares Incorporated | 0.04 | 7 per month | 0.85 | 0.12 | 2.87 | (2.28) | 14.20 | |
USB | US Bancorp | 0.44 | 10 per month | 1.18 | 0.09 | 2.86 | (2.31) | 10.98 | |
FHN | First Horizon National | (0.15) | 11 per month | 1.22 | 0.13 | 3.80 | (2.49) | 18.94 | |
RF | Regions Financial | 0.24 | 10 per month | 0.89 | 0.12 | 2.82 | (1.66) | 14.81 | |
PNC | PNC Financial Services | (0.80) | 9 per month | 0.87 | 0.10 | 2.54 | (1.97) | 9.52 |
Comerica Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Comerica price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Comerica using various technical indicators. When you analyze Comerica charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Comerica Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Comerica stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Comerica, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Comerica based on analysis of Comerica hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Comerica's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Comerica's related companies. 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0334 | 0.0429 | 0.0535 | 0.0385 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.96 | 2.48 | 2.05 | 2.35 |
Story Coverage note for Comerica
The number of cover stories for Comerica depends on current market conditions and Comerica's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Comerica is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Comerica's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Comerica Short Properties
Comerica's future price predictability will typically decrease when Comerica's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Comerica often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Comerica's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Comerica's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 133 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.5 B |
Complementary Tools for Comerica Stock analysis
When running Comerica's price analysis, check to measure Comerica's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Comerica is operating at the current time. Most of Comerica's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Comerica's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Comerica's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Comerica to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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