Comerica Stock Price Prediction

CMA Stock  USD 71.09  2.19  3.18%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Comerica's share price is above 70 at this time suggesting that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Comerica, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

70

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Comerica's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Comerica, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Comerica's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.28)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.15
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.3287
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.4179
Wall Street Target Price
68.1114
Using Comerica hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Comerica from the perspective of Comerica response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Comerica Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Comerica's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Comerica. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Comerica can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Comerica. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Comerica's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Comerica.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Comerica to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Comerica because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Comerica after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 71.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Comerica Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Comerica Stock refer to our How to Trade Comerica Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
62.3164.4578.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
66.6368.7770.91
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
45.5550.0555.56
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.261.251.39
Details

Comerica After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Comerica at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Comerica or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Comerica, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Comerica Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Comerica's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Comerica's historical news coverage. Comerica's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 68.86 and 73.14, respectively. We have considered Comerica's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
71.09
71.00
After-hype Price
73.14
Upside
Comerica is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Comerica is based on 3 months time horizon.

Comerica Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Comerica is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Comerica backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Comerica, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.39 
2.14
  0.09 
  0.05 
11 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
71.09
71.00
0.13 
972.73  
Notes

Comerica Hype Timeline

On the 24th of November Comerica is traded for 71.09. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Comerica is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 71.0. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.39%. The volatility of related hype on Comerica is about 1712.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 71.04. About 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.34. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Comerica has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.32. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 2024. The firm had 3:2 split on the 2nd of April 1998. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Comerica Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Comerica Stock refer to our How to Trade Comerica Stock guide.

Comerica Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Comerica's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Comerica's future price movements. Getting to know how Comerica's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Comerica may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
WALWestern Alliance Bancorporation(1.41)11 per month 2.13  0.07  4.19 (3.17) 19.53 
KEYKeyCorp 0.10 7 per month 1.36  0.07  3.06 (2.54) 19.76 
PACWPacWest Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 11.32  0.05  17.58 (14.58) 104.70 
TFCTruist Financial Corp(0.30)11 per month 1.17  0.06  2.46 (2.46) 12.77 
ZIONZions Bancorporation 0.59 11 per month 1.49  0.10  3.62 (2.89) 20.65 
HBANHuntington Bancshares Incorporated 0.04 7 per month 0.85  0.12  2.87 (2.28) 14.20 
USBUS Bancorp 0.44 10 per month 1.18  0.09  2.86 (2.31) 10.98 
FHNFirst Horizon National(0.15)11 per month 1.22  0.13  3.80 (2.49) 18.94 
RFRegions Financial 0.24 10 per month 0.89  0.12  2.82 (1.66) 14.81 
PNCPNC Financial Services(0.80)9 per month 0.87  0.10  2.54 (1.97) 9.52 

Comerica Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Comerica price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Comerica using various technical indicators. When you analyze Comerica charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Comerica Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Comerica stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Comerica, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Comerica based on analysis of Comerica hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Comerica's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Comerica's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.03340.04290.05350.0385
Price To Sales Ratio3.962.482.052.35

Story Coverage note for Comerica

The number of cover stories for Comerica depends on current market conditions and Comerica's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Comerica is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Comerica's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Comerica Short Properties

Comerica's future price predictability will typically decrease when Comerica's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Comerica often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Comerica's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Comerica's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding133 M
Cash And Short Term Investments9.5 B

Complementary Tools for Comerica Stock analysis

When running Comerica's price analysis, check to measure Comerica's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Comerica is operating at the current time. Most of Comerica's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Comerica's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Comerica's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Comerica to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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