Triple Flag Precious Stock Price Patterns
| TFPM Stock | 50.25 1.03 2.09% |
Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.038 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2771 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.9982 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.3791 | Wall Street Target Price 62.498 |
Using Triple Flag hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Triple Flag Precious from the perspective of Triple Flag response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Triple Flag to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Triple because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Triple Flag after-hype prediction price | CAD 48.92 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Triple |
Triple Flag After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Triple Flag at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Triple Flag or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Triple Flag, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Triple Flag Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Triple Flag's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Triple Flag's historical news coverage. Triple Flag's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 46.05 and 51.79, respectively. We have considered Triple Flag's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Triple Flag is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Triple Flag Precious is based on 3 months time horizon.
Triple Flag Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Triple Flag is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Triple Flag backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Triple Flag, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 2.85 | 0.33 | 0.06 | 8 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
50.25 | 48.92 | 0.61 |
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Triple Flag Hype Timeline
Triple Flag Precious is at this time traded for 50.25on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.33, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Triple is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 48.92. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.61%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.34%. The volatility of related hype on Triple Flag is about 1565.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 50.31. About 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Triple Flag was at this time reported as 13.08. The company last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2025. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Triple Flag Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Triple Flag Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Triple Flag's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Triple Flag's future price movements. Getting to know how Triple Flag's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Triple Flag may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CGG | China Gold International | (0.02) | 4 per month | 4.25 | 0.12 | 6.14 | (5.89) | 26.05 | |
| OR | Osisko Gold Ro | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.23 | 0.11 | 4.50 | (3.93) | 17.45 | |
| NGD | New Gold | 1.01 | 10 per month | 3.66 | 0.17 | 7.68 | (5.41) | 28.20 | |
| GMIN | G Mining Ventures | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.72 | 0.22 | 6.77 | (6.86) | 23.03 | |
| HBM | HudBay Minerals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.74 | 0.24 | 5.66 | (3.52) | 17.18 | |
| BTO | B2Gold Corp | (0.21) | 8 per month | 3.66 | 0.08 | 6.48 | (4.63) | 20.45 | |
| ARTG | Artemis Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.57 | 0.07 | 4.57 | (6.69) | 15.78 | |
| ELD | Eldorado Gold Corp | (0.44) | 8 per month | 2.96 | 0.23 | 5.17 | (5.27) | 16.09 | |
| OGC | OceanaGold | 1.05 | 7 per month | 3.76 | 0.18 | 5.19 | (5.96) | 16.30 | |
| CS | Capstone Mining Corp | 0.43 | 3 per month | 3.59 | 0.05 | 7.47 | (5.99) | 18.20 |
Triple Flag Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Triple price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Triple using various technical indicators. When you analyze Triple charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Triple Flag Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Triple Flag stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Triple Flag Precious, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Triple Flag based on analysis of Triple Flag hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Triple Flag's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Triple Flag's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0156 | 0.0143 | 0.006896 | 0.013 | Price To Sales Ratio | 13.0 | 11.26 | 17.1 | 18.69 |
Pair Trading with Triple Flag
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Triple Flag position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Triple Flag will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Triple Stock
| 0.86 | AG | First Majestic Silver | PairCorr |
| 0.8 | IE | Ivanhoe Energy Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.74 | ORE | Orezone Gold Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.73 | FDY | Faraday Copper Corp | PairCorr |
Moving against Triple Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Triple Flag could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Triple Flag when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Triple Flag - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Triple Flag Precious to buy it.
The correlation of Triple Flag is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Triple Flag moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Triple Flag Precious moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Triple Flag can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Triple Flag Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.