Triple Flag Precious Stock Price Prediction
| TFPM Stock | 23.31 0.10 0.43% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
41
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.005 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.22 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.5561 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.7486 | Wall Street Target Price 20.8407 |
Using Triple Flag hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Triple Flag Precious from the perspective of Triple Flag response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Triple Flag to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Triple because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Triple Flag after-hype prediction price | CAD 23.31 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Triple |
Triple Flag After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Triple Flag at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Triple Flag or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Triple Flag, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Triple Flag Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Triple Flag's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Triple Flag's historical news coverage. Triple Flag's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.45 and 25.17, respectively. We have considered Triple Flag's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Triple Flag is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Triple Flag Precious is based on 3 months time horizon.
Triple Flag Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Triple Flag is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Triple Flag backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Triple Flag, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.86 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
23.31 | 23.31 | 0.00 |
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Triple Flag Hype Timeline
Triple Flag Precious is at this time traded for 23.31on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Triple is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Triple Flag is about 5314.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.31. About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.95. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Triple Flag Precious recorded a loss per share of 0.38. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of November 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Triple Flag Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Triple Flag Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Triple Flag's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Triple Flag's future price movements. Getting to know how Triple Flag's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Triple Flag may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UNH | UnitedHealth Group CDR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.58 | (0.04) | 2.34 | (1.96) | 8.47 | |
| DAC | Datable Technology Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RHT | Reliq Health Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TGS | TGS Esports | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DHT-U | DRI Healthcare Trust | 0.25 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.34 | (3.78) | 10.93 | |
| CVW | CVW CleanTech | 0.04 | 2 per month | 2.45 | (0.05) | 4.76 | (4.35) | 13.79 | |
| QUIS | Quisitive Technology Solutions | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.26 | (5.13) | 14.48 | |
| ICE | Canlan Ice Sports | 0.00 | 2 per month | 1.05 | 0.05 | 3.80 | (2.48) | 13.26 |
Triple Flag Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Triple price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Triple using various technical indicators. When you analyze Triple charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Triple Flag Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Triple Flag stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Triple Flag Precious, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Triple Flag based on analysis of Triple Flag hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Triple Flag's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Triple Flag's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0136 | 0.0156 | 0.01 | Price To Sales Ratio | 14.13 | 13.0 | 19.57 |
Story Coverage note for Triple Flag
The number of cover stories for Triple Flag depends on current market conditions and Triple Flag's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Triple Flag is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Triple Flag's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Triple Flag Short Properties
Triple Flag's future price predictability will typically decrease when Triple Flag's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Triple Flag Precious often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Triple Flag's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Triple Flag's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 199.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 31.3 M |
Check out Triple Flag Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.