Tractor Supply (Germany) Price Prediction
| TR4 Stock | EUR 51.40 0.37 0.73% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
53
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Tractor Supply hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tractor Supply from the perspective of Tractor Supply response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Tractor Supply to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Tractor because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Tractor Supply after-hype prediction price | EUR 51.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Tractor |
Tractor Supply After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tractor Supply at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tractor Supply or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tractor Supply, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tractor Supply Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tractor Supply's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tractor Supply's historical news coverage. Tractor Supply's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 49.62 and 53.18, respectively. We have considered Tractor Supply's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tractor Supply is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tractor Supply is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tractor Supply Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tractor Supply is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tractor Supply backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tractor Supply, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
51.40 | 51.40 | 0.00 |
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Tractor Supply Hype Timeline
Tractor Supply is at this time traded for 51.40on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Tractor is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Tractor Supply is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 51.40. About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.03. Tractor Supply recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.2. The entity last dividend was issued on the 24th of February 2023. The firm had 1:5 split on the 23rd of September 2024. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week. Check out Tractor Supply Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Tractor Stock please use our How to Invest in Tractor Supply guide.Tractor Supply Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tractor Supply's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tractor Supply's future price movements. Getting to know how Tractor Supply's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tractor Supply may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MLB1 | MercadoLibre | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.81 | (3.83) | 19.55 | |
| OM6 | OReilly Automotive | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.95 | 0.14 | 3.35 | (1.99) | 5.97 | |
| AZ5 | AutoZone | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.68 | 0.13 | 2.37 | (1.60) | 9.99 | |
| TR4 | Tractor Supply | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.47 | 0.04 | 3.19 | (2.52) | 9.63 | |
| 34U | Ulta Beauty | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.76 | 0.07 | 3.99 | (3.35) | 15.54 | |
| EBA | eBay Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.95 | 0.06 | 3.49 | (1.99) | 12.20 | |
| GPT | Genuine Parts | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.63 | (2.30) | 23.22 | |
| BUY | Best Buy Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.73 | (2.84) | 9.37 | |
| 3E2 | Etsy Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.35 | 0.07 | 3.87 | (4.06) | 17.72 |
Tractor Supply Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tractor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tractor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tractor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Tractor Supply Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Tractor Supply stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Tractor Supply, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Tractor Supply based on analysis of Tractor Supply hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Tractor Supply's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Tractor Supply's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Tractor Supply
The number of cover stories for Tractor Supply depends on current market conditions and Tractor Supply's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tractor Supply is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tractor Supply's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Tractor Supply Short Properties
Tractor Supply's future price predictability will typically decrease when Tractor Supply's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tractor Supply often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tractor Supply's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tractor Supply's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 110.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Tractor Stock analysis
When running Tractor Supply's price analysis, check to measure Tractor Supply's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tractor Supply is operating at the current time. Most of Tractor Supply's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tractor Supply's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tractor Supply's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tractor Supply to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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