Transat At Stock Price Patterns

TRZ Stock  CAD 2.65  0.01  0.38%   
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Transat AT's share price is approaching 49. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Transat AT, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 49

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Transat AT's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Transat AT, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Transat AT's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
11.642
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.53)
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.2137
Wall Street Target Price
3.19
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.2096
Using Transat AT hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Transat AT from the perspective of Transat AT response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Transat AT to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Transat because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Transat AT after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 2.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Transat AT Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.165.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.052.576.12
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-1.84-1.39-1.09
Details

Transat AT After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Transat AT at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Transat AT or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Transat AT, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Transat AT Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Transat AT's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Transat AT's historical news coverage. Transat AT's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.14 and 6.25, respectively. We have considered Transat AT's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.65
2.70
After-hype Price
6.25
Upside
Transat AT is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Transat AT is based on 3 months time horizon.

Transat AT Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Transat AT is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Transat AT backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Transat AT, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.31 
3.55
  0.05 
 0.00  
3 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.65
2.70
1.89 
2,367  
Notes

Transat AT Hype Timeline

Transat AT is at this time traded for 2.65on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Transat is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.7 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 1.89%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Transat AT is about 44375.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.65. The company reported the revenue of 3.4 B. Net Income was 241.92 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 647.17 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Transat AT Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Transat AT Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Transat AT's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Transat AT's future price movements. Getting to know how Transat AT's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Transat AT may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
RETReitmans Canada(0.06)13 per month 3.08  0.02  7.51 (6.12) 19.34 
RET-AReitmans Limited(0.04)3 per month 2.60 (0.01) 4.65 (4.09) 17.88 
SXPSupremex(0.03)2 per month 1.35  0.02  2.75 (2.70) 10.54 
DII-BDorel Industries(0.01)7 per month 3.63  0.09  10.70 (6.37) 24.80 
ROOTRoots Corp(0.03)1 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.51 (3.61) 9.01 
WPRTWestport Fuel Systems 0.01 8 per month 0.00 (0.02) 7.79 (6.05) 23.27 
MENEMene Inc 0.00 0 per month 5.98  0.02  13.33 (14.29) 52.69 
IFXImaflex 0.01 3 per month 0.00  0.12  2.83 (2.75) 110.89 
ICECanlan Ice Sports 0.00 3 per month 0.00 (0.05) 4.85 (4.79) 17.47 
IFAiFabric Corp 0.07 6 per month 2.86  0.18  12.67 (6.70) 22.13 

Transat AT Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Transat price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Transat using various technical indicators. When you analyze Transat charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Transat AT Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Transat AT stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Transat AT, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Transat AT based on analysis of Transat AT hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Transat AT's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Transat AT's related companies.
 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02410.0253
Price To Sales Ratio0.02850.0271

Pair Trading with Transat AT

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Transat AT position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Transat AT will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Transat Stock

  0.6AMGN Amgen CDRPairCorr
  0.55UBER Uber CDR SplitPairCorr
  0.44ABBV AbbVie CDRPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Transat AT could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Transat AT when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Transat AT - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Transat AT to buy it.
The correlation of Transat AT is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Transat AT moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Transat AT moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Transat AT can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Transat Stock

Transat AT financial ratios help investors to determine whether Transat Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Transat with respect to the benefits of owning Transat AT security.