TUI AG (Germany) Price Prediction
| TUI1 Stock | 7.51 0.02 0.27% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
57
Oversold | Overbought |
Using TUI AG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TUI AG from the perspective of TUI AG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in TUI AG to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying TUI because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
TUI AG after-hype prediction price | EUR 7.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
TUI |
TUI AG After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TUI AG at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TUI AG or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TUI AG, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TUI AG Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TUI AG's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TUI AG's historical news coverage. TUI AG's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.65 and 9.37, respectively. We have considered TUI AG's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TUI AG is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TUI AG is based on 3 months time horizon.
TUI AG Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TUI AG is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TUI AG backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TUI AG, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 1.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.51 | 7.51 | 0.00 |
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TUI AG Hype Timeline
TUI AG is at this time traded for 7.51on XETRA Stock Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. TUI is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.38%. %. The volatility of related hype on TUI AG is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.51. About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.07. TUI AG recorded a loss per share of 0.41. The entity last dividend was issued on the 9th of February 2022. The firm had 10:1 split on the 23rd of February 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week. Check out TUI AG Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.TUI AG Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TUI AG's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TUI AG's future price movements. Getting to know how TUI AG's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TUI AG may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TC7 | TIANDE CHEMICAL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 38.10 | |
| MUG | Mitsubishi Gas Chemical | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.23 | (0.04) | 2.38 | (1.78) | 8.42 | |
| NSC | NISSAN CHEMICAL IND | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.92 | (0.04) | 1.89 | (1.90) | 5.01 | |
| SOQ | Soken Chemical Engineering | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GI4 | G III Apparel Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.98 | 0.05 | 5.19 | (3.65) | 29.15 | |
| AFG | American Eagle Outfitters | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.77 | (0.05) | 2.89 | (3.45) | 10.58 |
TUI AG Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TUI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TUI using various technical indicators. When you analyze TUI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About TUI AG Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of TUI AG stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as TUI AG, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of TUI AG based on analysis of TUI AG hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to TUI AG's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to TUI AG's related companies.
Story Coverage note for TUI AG
The number of cover stories for TUI AG depends on current market conditions and TUI AG's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TUI AG is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TUI AG's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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TUI AG Short Properties
TUI AG's future price predictability will typically decrease when TUI AG's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TUI AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TUI AG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TUI AG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 B |
Complementary Tools for TUI Stock analysis
When running TUI AG's price analysis, check to measure TUI AG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TUI AG is operating at the current time. Most of TUI AG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TUI AG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TUI AG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TUI AG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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