Proshares Ultra Bloomberg Etf Price Patterns

UCO Etf  USD 21.82  2.28  9.46%   
As of today, The relative strength momentum indicator of ProShares Ultra's share price is at 54. This usually implies that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling ProShares Ultra, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 54

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of ProShares Ultra's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ProShares Ultra Bloomberg, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using ProShares Ultra hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ProShares Ultra Bloomberg from the perspective of ProShares Ultra response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ProShares Ultra using ProShares Ultra's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ProShares using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ProShares Ultra's stock price.

ProShares Ultra Implied Volatility

    
  0.72  
ProShares Ultra's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ProShares Ultra Bloomberg stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ProShares Ultra's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ProShares Ultra stock will not fluctuate a lot when ProShares Ultra's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ProShares Ultra to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ProShares because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

ProShares Ultra after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 21.83  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current ProShares contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that ProShares Ultra Bloomberg will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.045% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With ProShares Ultra trading at USD 21.82, that is roughly USD 0.009819 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating ProShares Ultra's daily price movement you should consider acquiring ProShares Ultra Bloomberg options at the current volatility level of 0.72%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out ProShares Ultra Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ProShares Ultra's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.8719.9322.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.6622.7225.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.9322.9024.87
Details

ProShares Ultra After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of ProShares Ultra at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ProShares Ultra or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of ProShares Ultra, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

ProShares Ultra Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting ProShares Ultra's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ProShares Ultra's historical news coverage. ProShares Ultra's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.77 and 24.89, respectively. We have considered ProShares Ultra's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
21.82
21.83
After-hype Price
24.89
Upside
ProShares Ultra is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ProShares Ultra Bloomberg is based on 3 months time horizon.

ProShares Ultra Etf Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as ProShares Ultra is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ProShares Ultra backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ProShares Ultra, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.11 
3.06
  0.01 
  0.01 
8 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
21.82
21.83
0.05 
3,060  
Notes

ProShares Ultra Hype Timeline

On the 3rd of February ProShares Ultra Bloomberg is traded for 21.82. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. ProShares is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 21.83 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on ProShares Ultra is about 2266.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.83. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out ProShares Ultra Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

ProShares Ultra Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to ProShares Ultra's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ProShares Ultra's future price movements. Getting to know how ProShares Ultra's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ProShares Ultra may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
UTWORbb Fund  0.01 3 per month 0.00 (0.80) 0.08 (0.08) 0.23 
SIXPAIM ETF Products 0.02 1 per month 0.26 (0.06) 0.54 (0.67) 1.89 
AMZAInfraCap MLP ETF 0.39 3 per month 0.94  0.07  1.86 (1.55) 4.99 
TFLRT Rowe Price(0.06)2 per month 0.00 (0.52) 0.12 (0.10) 0.37 
QVALAlpha Architect Quantitative 0.52 2 per month 0.39  0.13  1.65 (0.93) 3.97 
CDXSimplify Exchange Traded(0.17)4 per month 0.00 (0.27) 0.41 (0.45) 1.08 
JPUSJPMorgan Diversified Return 0.29 1 per month 0.47  0.05  1.08 (0.98) 2.63 
INDAXAlpskotak India Growth 0.02 8 per month 0.00 (0.12) 1.02 (1.27) 4.63 
FXFInvesco CurrencyShares Swiss 0.33 10 per month 0.38 (0.06) 0.77 (0.85) 2.74 
JKKiShares Morningstar Small Cap 0.00 0 per month 1.07 (0.02) 1.83 (1.85) 4.44 

ProShares Ultra Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ProShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ProShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze ProShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About ProShares Ultra Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of ProShares Ultra stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ProShares Ultra Bloomberg, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ProShares Ultra based on analysis of ProShares Ultra hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ProShares Ultra's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ProShares Ultra's related companies.

Pair Trading with ProShares Ultra

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if ProShares Ultra position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ProShares Ultra will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with ProShares Etf

  0.62WTIU UBS ETRACSPairCorr

Moving against ProShares Etf

  0.31MKTN Federated Hermes ETFPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to ProShares Ultra could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace ProShares Ultra when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back ProShares Ultra - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling ProShares Ultra Bloomberg to buy it.
The correlation of ProShares Ultra is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as ProShares Ultra moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if ProShares Ultra Bloomberg moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for ProShares Ultra can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether ProShares Ultra Bloomberg offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of ProShares Ultra's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Proshares Ultra Bloomberg Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Proshares Ultra Bloomberg Etf:
Check out ProShares Ultra Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Understanding ProShares Ultra Bloomberg requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects ProShares's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what ProShares Ultra's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push ProShares Ultra's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ProShares Ultra's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ProShares Ultra is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, ProShares Ultra's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.