TEXTRON INC 4 Price Prediction
| 883203BW0 | 98.99 0.07 0.07% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
Using TEXTRON hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TEXTRON INC 4 from the perspective of TEXTRON response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in TEXTRON to buy its bond at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying TEXTRON because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell bonds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
TEXTRON after-hype prediction price | $ 98.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as bond price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
TEXTRON |
TEXTRON After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TEXTRON at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TEXTRON or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Bond prices, such as prices of TEXTRON, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TEXTRON Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TEXTRON's bond value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TEXTRON's historical news coverage. TEXTRON's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 98.68 and 99.30, respectively. We have considered TEXTRON's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TEXTRON is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TEXTRON INC 4 is based on 3 months time horizon.
TEXTRON Bond Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Corporate Bond such as TEXTRON is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TEXTRON backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Bond price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TEXTRON, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
98.99 | 98.99 | 0.00 |
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TEXTRON Hype Timeline
TEXTRON INC 4 is at this time traded for 98.99. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.03. TEXTRON is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on TEXTRON is about 31.88%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 98.96. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time. Check out TEXTRON Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade TEXTRON Bond refer to our How to Trade TEXTRON Bond guide.TEXTRON Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TEXTRON's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TEXTRON's future price movements. Getting to know how TEXTRON's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TEXTRON may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KO | The Coca Cola | 0.69 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 1.18 | (1.66) | 4.07 | |
| JPM | JPMorgan Chase Co | (8.12) | 9 per month | 1.44 | 0.05 | 2.05 | (2.00) | 15.87 | |
| DD | Dupont De Nemours | (0.92) | 10 per month | 1.19 | (0.04) | 2.68 | (2.46) | 7.46 | |
| AA | Alcoa Corp | (0.80) | 8 per month | 2.65 | 0.13 | 6.10 | (5.76) | 14.99 | |
| BA | The Boeing | 2.05 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.11 | (3.41) | 8.23 | |
| MSFT | Microsoft | (4.50) | 8 per month | 1.51 | (0.09) | 2.09 | (1.85) | 8.19 | |
| PG | Procter Gamble | 0.07 | 8 per month | 0.80 | (0.04) | 1.74 | (1.26) | 4.66 | |
| IBM | International Business Machines | 3.75 | 7 per month | 1.27 | 0.08 | 2.22 | (1.70) | 8.66 |
TEXTRON Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TEXTRON price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TEXTRON using various technical indicators. When you analyze TEXTRON charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About TEXTRON Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of TEXTRON stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as TEXTRON INC 4, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of TEXTRON based on analysis of TEXTRON hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to TEXTRON's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to TEXTRON's related companies.
Story Coverage note for TEXTRON
The number of cover stories for TEXTRON depends on current market conditions and TEXTRON's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TEXTRON is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TEXTRON's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in TEXTRON Bond
TEXTRON financial ratios help investors to determine whether TEXTRON Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TEXTRON with respect to the benefits of owning TEXTRON security.