YPF SA (Argentina) Price Prediction
| YPFD Stock | ARS 50,500 1,650 3.16% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
75
Oversold | Overbought |
Using YPF SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of YPF SA D from the perspective of YPF SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in YPF SA to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying YPF because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
YPF SA after-hype prediction price | ARS 50500.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
YPF |
YPF SA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of YPF SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in YPF SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of YPF SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
YPF SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting YPF SA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on YPF SA's historical news coverage. YPF SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 50,497 and 50,503, respectively. We have considered YPF SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
YPF SA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of YPF SA D is based on 3 months time horizon.
YPF SA Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as YPF SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading YPF SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with YPF SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.89 | 2.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
50,500 | 50,500 | 0.00 |
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YPF SA Hype Timeline
YPF SA D is at this time traded for 50,500on Buenos Aires Exchange of Argentina. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. YPF is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.89%. %. The volatility of related hype on YPF SA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 50,500. About 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.71. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. YPF SA D recorded earning per share (EPS) of 615.95. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of July 2019. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time. Check out YPF SA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.YPF SA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to YPF SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict YPF SA's future price movements. Getting to know how YPF SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how YPF SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GGAL | Grupo Financiero Galicia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.06 | 0.15 | 5.59 | (4.30) | 18.30 | |
| PAMP | Pampa Energia SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.80 | 0.20 | 4.25 | (2.95) | 10.62 | |
| BMA | Banco Macro SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.60 | 0.14 | 7.58 | (5.08) | 24.15 | |
| ALUA | Aluar Aluminio Argentino | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.67 | (4.01) | 11.67 | |
| EDN | Empresa Distribuidora y | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.53 | 0.15 | 6.82 | (4.99) | 19.86 |
YPF SA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine YPF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for YPF using various technical indicators. When you analyze YPF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About YPF SA Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of YPF SA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as YPF SA D, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of YPF SA based on analysis of YPF SA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to YPF SA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to YPF SA's related companies.
Story Coverage note for YPF SA
The number of cover stories for YPF SA depends on current market conditions and YPF SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that YPF SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about YPF SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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YPF SA Short Properties
YPF SA's future price predictability will typically decrease when YPF SA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of YPF SA D often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential YPF SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. YPF SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 393.3 M |
Complementary Tools for YPF Stock analysis
When running YPF SA's price analysis, check to measure YPF SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy YPF SA is operating at the current time. Most of YPF SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of YPF SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move YPF SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of YPF SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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