Advance Auto EBITDA vs. Current Valuation

AAP Stock  USD 41.35  3.09  6.95%   
Considering Advance Auto's profitability and operating efficiency indicators, Advance Auto Parts may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at the moment. It has a very high risk of underperforming in December. Profitability indicators assess Advance Auto's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
EBITDA  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
426.4 M
Current Value
729.5 M
Quarterly Volatility
281.3 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
As of 11/29/2024, Operating Cash Flow Sales Ratio is likely to grow to 0.06, while Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 0.70. At this time, Advance Auto's Non Operating Income Net Other is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 11/29/2024, Net Income Per Share is likely to grow to 7.27, while Income Before Tax is likely to drop slightly above 30.3 M.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.360.4
Moderately Down
Slightly volatile
Net Profit Margin0.0320.0375
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.05740.0576
Slightly Down
Slightly volatile
Pretax Profit Margin0.04920.0523
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Return On Assets0.04410.0349
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Return On Equity0.140.16
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
For Advance Auto profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Advance Auto to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Advance Auto Parts utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Advance Auto's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Advance Auto Parts over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.
  
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Is Automotive Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Advance Auto. If investors know Advance will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Advance Auto listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.43)
Earnings Share
0.79
Revenue Per Share
189.355
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0)
Return On Assets
0.0025
The market value of Advance Auto Parts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Advance that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Advance Auto's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Advance Auto's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Advance Auto's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Advance Auto's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Advance Auto's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Advance Auto is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Advance Auto's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Advance Auto Parts Current Valuation vs. EBITDA Fundamental Analysis

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Advance Auto's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Advance Auto value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth.
Advance Auto Parts is rated below average in ebitda category among its peers. It also is rated below average in current valuation category among its peers reporting about  14.07  of Current Valuation per EBITDA. At this time, Advance Auto's EBITDA is relatively stable compared to the past year. Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all technique that is used if you cannot value Advance Auto by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. It compares the stock's price multiples to nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued.

Advance Current Valuation vs. EBITDA

EBITDA stands for earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. It is a measure of a company operating cash flow based on data from the company income statement and is a very good way to compare companies within industries or across different sectors. However, unlike Operating Cash Flow, EBITDA does not include the effects of changes in working capital.

Advance Auto

EBITDA

 = 

Revenue

-

Basic Expenses

 = 
426.36 M
In a nutshell, EBITDA is calculated by adding back each of the excluded items to the post-tax profit, and can be used to compare companies with very different capital structures.
Enterprise Value is a firm valuation proxy that approximates the current market value of a company. It is typically used to determine the takeover or merger price of a firm. Unlike Market Cap, this measure takes into account the entire liquid asset, outstanding debt, and exotic equity instruments that the company has on its balance sheet. When a takeover occurs, the parent company will have to assume the target company's liabilities but will take possession of all cash and cash equivalents.

Advance Auto

Enterprise Value

 = 

Market Cap + Debt

-

Cash

 = 
B
Enterprise Value can be a useful tool to compare companies with different capital structures. Long term liability and current cash or cash equivalents can have a huge impact on market valuation of a given company.

Advance Current Valuation vs Competition

Advance Auto Parts is rated below average in current valuation category among its peers. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Consumer Discretionary industry is presently estimated at about 310.3 Billion. Advance Auto claims roughly 6 Billion in current valuation contributing just under 2% to stocks in Consumer Discretionary industry.

Advance Auto Profitability Projections

The most important aspect of a successful company is its ability to generate a profit. For investors in Advance Auto, profitability is also one of the essential criteria for including it into their portfolios because, without profit, Advance Auto will eventually generate negative long term returns. The profitability progress is the general direction of Advance Auto's change in net profit over the period of time. It can combine multiple indicators of Advance Auto, where stable trends show no significant progress. An accelerating trend is seen as positive, while a decreasing one is unfavorable. A rising trend means that profits are rising, and operational efficiency may be rising as well. A decreasing trend is a sign of poor performance and may indicate upcoming losses.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income-52.2 M-49.6 M
Operating Income114.4 M108.7 M
Income Before Tax31.8 M30.3 M
Total Other Income Expense Net-82.5 M-78.4 M
Net Income29.7 M28.2 M
Income Tax Expense2.1 MM
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares577.2 M362.5 M
Net Income From Continuing Ops205.3 M195.1 M
Non Operating Income Net Other4.5 M4.7 M
Interest Income49.9 M43.1 M
Net Interest Income-85.9 M-90.2 M
Change To Netincome81.5 M60.7 M
Net Income Per Share 6.93  7.27 
Income Quality 1.30  1.33 
Net Income Per E B T 0.82  0.80 

Advance Profitability Driver Comparison

Profitability drivers are factors that can directly affect your investment outlook on Advance Auto. Investors often realize that things won't turn out the way they predict. There are maybe way too many unforeseen events and contingencies during the holding period of Advance Auto position where the market behavior may be hard to predict, tax policy changes, gold or oil price hikes, calamities change, and many others. The question is, are you prepared for these unexpected events? Although some of these situations are obviously beyond your control, you can still follow the important profit indicators to know where you should focus on when things like this occur. Below are some of the Advance Auto's important profitability drivers and their relationship over time.

Use Advance Auto in pair-trading

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Advance Auto position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Advance Auto will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Advance Auto Pair Trading

Advance Auto Parts Pair Trading Analysis

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Advance Auto could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Advance Auto when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Advance Auto - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Advance Auto Parts to buy it.
The correlation of Advance Auto is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Advance Auto moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Advance Auto Parts moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Advance Auto can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Use Investing Themes to Complement your Advance Auto position

In addition to having Advance Auto in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Compulsion Thematic Idea Now

Compulsion
Compulsion Theme
Companies involved in research, development, and manufacturing of products with compulsion characteristics such as cigarettes, addictive drugs and alcohol. The Compulsion theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Compulsion Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Advance Stock Analysis

When running Advance Auto's price analysis, check to measure Advance Auto's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Advance Auto is operating at the current time. Most of Advance Auto's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Advance Auto's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Advance Auto's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Advance Auto to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.