Advance Auto Parts Stock Technical Analysis
| AAP Stock | USD 48.01 0.00 0.00% |
As of the 31st of January, Advance Auto shows the Standard Deviation of 3.41, mean deviation of 2.49, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02). Advance Auto Parts technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Advance Auto Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Advance, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AdvanceAdvance Auto's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Advance Auto Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 51.29 | Hold | 28 | Odds |
Most Advance analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Advance stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Advance Auto Parts, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Advance conference calls.
Can Automotive Retail industry sustain growth momentum? Does Advance have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Advance Auto. If investors know Advance will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Advance Auto demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.66) | Dividend Share 1 | Earnings Share (10.22) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of Advance Auto Parts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Advance that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Advance Auto's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Advance Auto's true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because Advance Auto's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Advance Auto's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Advance Auto's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Advance Auto represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Advance Auto's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Advance Auto 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Advance Auto's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Advance Auto.
| 11/02/2025 |
| 01/31/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Advance Auto on November 2, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Advance Auto Parts or generate 0.0% return on investment in Advance Auto over 90 days. Advance Auto is related to or competes with Academy Sports, RH, Victorias Secret, Buckle, American Eagle, Visteon Corp, and Peloton Interactive. Advance Auto Parts, Inc. provides automotive replacement parts, accessories, batteries, and maintenance items for domest... More
Advance Auto Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Advance Auto's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Advance Auto Parts upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.72 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.38) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.75 |
Advance Auto Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Advance Auto's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Advance Auto's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Advance Auto historical prices to predict the future Advance Auto's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.24) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.38) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.06) |
Advance Auto January 31, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.49 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (2,744) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.41 | |||
| Variance | 11.61 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.24) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.38) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.06) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.72 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.38) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.75 | |||
| Skewness | 0.282 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.44 |
Advance Auto Parts Backtested Returns
Currently, Advance Auto Parts is very steady. Advance Auto Parts secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0251, which signifies that the company had a 0.0251 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for Advance Auto Parts, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Advance Auto's Standard Deviation of 3.41, mean deviation of 2.49, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0805%. Advance Auto has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.11, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Advance Auto will likely underperform. Advance Auto Parts right now shows a risk of 3.21%. Please confirm Advance Auto Parts jensen alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day median price , to decide if Advance Auto Parts will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.19 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
Advance Auto Parts has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Advance Auto time series from 2nd of November 2025 to 17th of December 2025 and 17th of December 2025 to 31st of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Advance Auto Parts price movement. The serial correlation of -0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current Advance Auto price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.19 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.36 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 10.5 |
Advance Auto technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Advance Auto Parts Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Advance Auto Parts volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Advance Auto Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Advance Auto Parts on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Advance Auto Parts based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Advance Auto Parts price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Advance Auto Parts. By analyzing Advance Auto's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Advance Auto's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Advance Auto specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2022 | 2023 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0379 | 0.0228 | 0.0341 | 0.0358 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.97 | 0.29 | 0.87 | 0.7 |
Advance Auto January 31, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Advance help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Advance from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Advance charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.49 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (2,744) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.41 | |||
| Variance | 11.61 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.24) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.38) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.06) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.72 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.38) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.75 | |||
| Skewness | 0.282 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.44 |
Advance Auto January 31, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Advance stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 79,574 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.00 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 47.96 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 47.97 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.05 |
Additional Tools for Advance Stock Analysis
When running Advance Auto's price analysis, check to measure Advance Auto's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Advance Auto is operating at the current time. Most of Advance Auto's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Advance Auto's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Advance Auto's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Advance Auto to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.