Commercial National Current Valuation vs. Cash Flow From Operations

CEFC Stock  USD 9.50  0.49  4.90%   
Taking into consideration Commercial National's profitability measurements, Commercial National Financial may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in December. Profitability indicators assess Commercial National's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
For Commercial National profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Commercial National to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Commercial National Financial utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Commercial National's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Commercial National Financial over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.
  
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Commercial National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Commercial National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Commercial National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Commercial National Cash Flow From Operations vs. Current Valuation Fundamental Analysis

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Commercial National's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Commercial National value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth.
Commercial National Financial is the top company in current valuation category among its peers. It is rated second in cash flow from operations category among its peers making about  0.23  of Cash Flow From Operations per Current Valuation. The ratio of Current Valuation to Cash Flow From Operations for Commercial National Financial is roughly  4.32 . Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all model that can be used if you cannot value Commercial National by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. This model doesn't attempt to find an intrinsic value for Commercial National's Pink Sheet. Still, instead, it compares the stock's price multiples to a benchmark or nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued.

Commercial Current Valuation vs. Competition

Commercial National Financial is the top company in current valuation category among its peers. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Financials industry is currently estimated at about (27.04 Million). Commercial National adds roughly 22.69 Million in current valuation claiming only tiny portion of equities under Financials industry.

Commercial Cash Flow From Operations vs. Current Valuation

Enterprise Value is a firm valuation proxy that approximates the current market value of a company. It is typically used to determine the takeover or merger price of a firm. Unlike Market Cap, this measure takes into account the entire liquid asset, outstanding debt, and exotic equity instruments that the company has on its balance sheet. When a takeover occurs, the parent company will have to assume the target company's liabilities but will take possession of all cash and cash equivalents.

Commercial National

Enterprise Value

 = 

Market Cap + Debt

-

Cash

 = 
22.69 M
Enterprise Value can be a useful tool to compare companies with different capital structures. Long term liability and current cash or cash equivalents can have a huge impact on market valuation of a given company.
Operating Cash Flow reveals the quality of a company's reported earnings and is calculated by deducting company's income taxes from earnings before interest, taxes, and depreciation (EBITDA). In other words, Operating Cash Flow refers to the amount of cash a firm generates from the sales or products or from rendering services. Operating Cash Flow typically excludes costs associated with long-term investments or investment in marketable securities and is usually used by investors or analysts to check on the quality of a company's earnings.

Commercial National

Operating Cash Flow

 = 

EBITDA

-

Taxes

 = 
5.25 M
Operating Cash Flow shows the difference between reported income and actual cash flows of the company. If a firm does not have enough cash or cash equivalents to cover its current liabilities, then both investors and management should be concerned about the company having enough liquid resources to meet current and long term debt obligations.

Commercial Cash Flow From Operations Comparison

Commercial National is currently under evaluation in cash flow from operations category among its peers.

Commercial National Profitability Projections

The most important aspect of a successful company is its ability to generate a profit. For investors in Commercial National, profitability is also one of the essential criteria for including it into their portfolios because, without profit, Commercial National will eventually generate negative long term returns. The profitability progress is the general direction of Commercial National's change in net profit over the period of time. It can combine multiple indicators of Commercial National, where stable trends show no significant progress. An accelerating trend is seen as positive, while a decreasing one is unfavorable. A rising trend means that profits are rising, and operational efficiency may be rising as well. A decreasing trend is a sign of poor performance and may indicate upcoming losses.
Commercial National Financial Corporation operates as the holding company for Commercial Bank that provides various banking products and services to individuals, agricultural businesses, commercial businesses, and light industries in Michigan. The company was founded in 1893 and is headquartered in Ithaca, Michigan. Commercial Natl operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.

Commercial Profitability Driver Comparison

Profitability drivers are factors that can directly affect your investment outlook on Commercial National. Investors often realize that things won't turn out the way they predict. There are maybe way too many unforeseen events and contingencies during the holding period of Commercial National position where the market behavior may be hard to predict, tax policy changes, gold or oil price hikes, calamities change, and many others. The question is, are you prepared for these unexpected events? Although some of these situations are obviously beyond your control, you can still follow the important profit indicators to know where you should focus on when things like this occur. Below are some of the Commercial National's important profitability drivers and their relationship over time.

Use Commercial National in pair-trading

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Commercial National position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Commercial National will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Commercial National Pair Trading

Commercial National Financial Pair Trading Analysis

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Commercial National could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Commercial National when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Commercial National - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Commercial National Financial to buy it.
The correlation of Commercial National is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Commercial National moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Commercial National moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Commercial National can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Use Investing Themes to Complement your Commercial National position

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Other Information on Investing in Commercial Pink Sheet

To fully project Commercial National's future profitability, investors should examine all historical financial statements. These statements provide investors with a comprehensive snapshot of the financial position of Commercial National at a specified time, usually calculated after every quarter, six months, or one year. Three primary documents fall into the category of financial statements. These documents include Commercial National's income statement, its balance sheet, and the statement of cash flows.
Potential Commercial National investors and stakeholders can use historical trends found within financial statements to determine how well the company is positioned for the future. Although Commercial National investors may work on each financial statement separately, they are all related. The changes in Commercial National's assets and liabilities, for example, are also reflected in the revenues and expenses that we see on Commercial National's income statement, which results in the company's gains or losses. Cash flows can provide more information regarding cash listed on a balance sheet but not equivalent to net income shown on the income statement. Please read more on our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.