Commercial National Financial Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CEFC Stock  USD 9.50  0.49  4.90%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Commercial National Financial is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Commercial National buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CEFC positions.
  
Check out Commercial National Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Commercial and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Commercial National Financial. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Execute Commercial National Buy or Sell Advice

The Commercial recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Commercial National Financial. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Commercial National Financial or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Commercial National's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Commercial NationalBuy Commercial National
Strong Sell

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Commercial National Financial has a Mean Deviation of 0.6844, Semi Deviation of 1.01, Standard Deviation of 1.2, Variance of 1.44, Downside Variance of 3.7 and Semi Variance of 1.02
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Commercial National. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Commercial National is not overpriced, please confirm all Commercial National fundamentals, including its cash and equivalents, cash flow from operations, and the relationship between the gross profit and total debt . Given that Commercial National has a price to sales of 1.94 X, we suggest you to validate Commercial National Financial market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Commercial National Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Commercial National's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Commercial National's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Commercial National daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Commercial National Financial price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Commercial National returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Commercial National.
Mean Return
0.11
Value At Risk
-1.1
Potential Upside
2.15
Standard Deviation
1.20
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Commercial National historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Commercial National Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Commercial National or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Commercial National's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Commercial pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.17
σ
Overall volatility
1.22
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Commercial National Volatility Alert

Commercial National Financial has relatively low volatility with skewness of -1.52 and kurtosis of 7.14. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Commercial National's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Commercial National's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Commercial National Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Commercial National's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Commercial National's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Commercial National and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Commercial National or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Commercial National's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Commercial National by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Commercial National to competition
FundamentalsCommercial NationalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.2-0.31
Return On Asset0.0132-0.14
Profit Margin0.36 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.43 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation22.69 M16.62 B
Price To Earning9.09 X28.72 X
Price To Sales1.94 X11.42 X
Revenue22.35 M9.43 B
Gross Profit19.8 M27.38 B
Net Income6.37 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents80.37 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share20.12 X5.01 X
Total Debt37.4 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share9.30 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations5.25 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share1.95 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.58 X4.89 X
Number Of Employees1918.84 K
Beta0.49-0.15
Market Capitalization43.46 M19.03 B
Total Asset243.86 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings339 K9.33 B
Z Score0.68.72
Annual Yield0.05 %
Five Year Return4.93 %
Last Dividend Paid0.56

Commercial National Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Commercial . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Commercial National Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Commercial National Financial? Buying financial instruments such as Commercial Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Commercial Pink Sheet

Commercial National financial ratios help investors to determine whether Commercial Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Commercial with respect to the benefits of owning Commercial National security.