Conifer Holding Stock Analysis

CNFR Stock  USD 1.14  0.01  0.87%   
Conifer Holding is overvalued with Real Value of 1.07 and Target Price of 1.07. The main objective of Conifer Holding stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Conifer Holding is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Conifer Holding's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Conifer Holding stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Conifer Holding is usually not traded on Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday. Conifer Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Conifer Holding. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
To learn how to invest in Conifer Stock, please use our How to Invest in Conifer Holding guide.

Conifer Stock Analysis Notes

About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.29. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Conifer Holding recorded a loss per share of 2.29. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 51:5 split on the 10th of August 2015. Conifer Holdings, Inc., an insurance holding company, engages in the sale of property and casualty insurance products. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Birmingham, Michigan. Conifer Holdings operates under InsuranceProperty Casualty classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 151 people. For more info on Conifer Holding please contact James Petcoff at 248 559 0840 or go to https://www.cnfrh.com.

Conifer Holding Quarterly Total Revenue

16.02 Million

Conifer Holding Investment Alerts

Conifer Holding is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Conifer Holding may become a speculative penny stock
Conifer Holding appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Conifer Holding currently holds 25.06 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.99, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Conifer Holding has a current ratio of 0.56, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Conifer Holding's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 98.76 M. Net Loss for the year was (25.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.27 M.
Conifer Holding currently holds about 41.15 M in cash with (13.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.37, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Conifer Holding has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 45.0% of Conifer Holding shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of tradable shares by Smith James Grant of Conifer Holding subject to Rule 16b-3

Conifer Holding Upcoming and Recent Events

13th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
8th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
13th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Conifer Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Conifer Holding's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2023-05-10
2023-03-310.010.030.02200 
2020-08-12
2020-06-30-0.06-0.040.0233 
2018-02-28
2017-12-31-0.020.020.04200 
View All Earnings Estimates

Conifer Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
8.0
Wells Fargo & Co2024-06-30
0.0
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
0.0
Aegis Financial Corporation2024-09-30
0.0
Iat Reinsurance Co Ltd2024-06-30
250 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
26.4 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
25 K
Skyoak Wealt, Llc2024-09-30
16.5 K
Lakeshore Financial Planning Inc2024-09-30
10.2 K
Tower Research Capital Llc2024-06-30
8.1 K
Advisor Group Holdings, Inc.2024-06-30
K
Note, although Conifer Holding's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Conifer Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Micro-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 14.06 M.

Conifer Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.27) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.12) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.12.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.08)(0.08)
Return On Capital Employed(0.05)(0.06)
Return On Assets(0.08)(0.08)
Return On Equity(8.97)(8.52)

Management Efficiency

Conifer Holding has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0527) % which means that it has lost $0.0527 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (3.279) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Conifer Holding's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Conifer Holding manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of 11/27/2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to grow to -0.08. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to -0.06. At this time, Conifer Holding's Other Assets are relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 11/27/2024, Total Current Assets is likely to grow to about 154 M, while Non Current Assets Total are likely to drop slightly above 122.1 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 0.24  0.22 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 0.24  0.22 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(1.25)(1.19)
Price Book Value Ratio 4.65  4.89 
Enterprise Value Multiple(1.25)(1.19)
Price Fair Value 4.65  4.89 
Enterprise Value27.4 M26 M
The strategic decisions made by Conifer Holding management significantly impact its financial stability and market performance. Evaluating these factors helps determine whether the stock is a worthwhile investment.
Operating Margin
(0.12)
Profit Margin
(0.27)
Beta
0.635
Return On Assets
(0.05)
Return On Equity
(3.28)

Technical Drivers

As of the 27th of November, Conifer Holding shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0927, downside deviation of 6.12, and Mean Deviation of 5.36. Conifer Holding technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Conifer Holding coefficient of variation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and semi variance to decide if Conifer Holding is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 1.14 per share. Given that Conifer Holding is a hitting penny stock territory we recommend to closely look at its total risk alpha.

Conifer Holding Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
java.lang.NullPointerException: Cannot invoke "java.lang.Number.intValue()" because the return value of "sun.invoke.util.ValueConversions.primitiveConversion(sun.invoke.util.Wrapper, Object, boolean)" is null. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Conifer Holding middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Conifer Holding. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Conifer Holding Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Conifer Holding insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Conifer Holding's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Conifer Holding insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Conifer Holding Outstanding Bonds

Conifer Holding issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Conifer Holding uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Conifer bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Conifer Holding has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Conifer Holding Predictive Daily Indicators

Conifer Holding intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Conifer Holding stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Conifer Holding Forecast Models

Conifer Holding's time-series forecasting models are one of many Conifer Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Conifer Holding's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Conifer Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Conifer Holding prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Conifer shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Conifer Holding. By using and applying Conifer Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Conifer entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.26)(0.25)
Operating Profit Margin(0.19)(0.20)
Net Loss(0.26)(0.25)

Current Conifer Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Conifer analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Conifer analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
1.07Hold1Odds
Conifer Holding current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Conifer analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Conifer stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Conifer Holding, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Conifer conference calls.
Conifer Analyst Advice Details

Conifer Stock Analysis Indicators

Conifer Holding stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Conifer Holding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Conifer Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Conifer Holding stock analysis, traders can identify Conifer Holding position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow28 M
Total Stockholder Equity2.9 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net960 K
Cash And Short Term Investments32 M
Net Invested Capital21.9 M
Cash11.1 M
50 Day M A1.127
Net Interest Income-3.1 M
Total Current Liabilities91.4 M
Forward Price Earnings72.9927
Investments32.4 M
Interest Expense3.2 M
Stock Based Compensation190 K
Long Term Debt25.1 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.2 M
Tax Provision-9.4 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.924
Free Cash Flow-13.4 M
Other Current Assets28.9 M
Accounts Payable5.6 M
Net Debt13.9 M
Other Operating Expenses96.4 M
Non Current Assets Total145.3 M
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity311.8 M
Non Currrent Assets Other-145.3 M

Additional Tools for Conifer Stock Analysis

When running Conifer Holding's price analysis, check to measure Conifer Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Conifer Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Conifer Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Conifer Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Conifer Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Conifer Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.