Castellum Stock Analysis
CTM Stock | USD 0.16 0.01 5.65% |
Castellum is undervalued with Real Value of 0.46 and Target Price of 1.4. The main objective of Castellum stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Castellum is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Castellum's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Castellum stock is traded in the USA on NYSE MKT Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Castellum is usually not traded on Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday. Castellum Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
Castellum |
Castellum Stock Analysis Notes
About 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.78. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Castellum recorded a loss per share of 0.17. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:20 split on the 13th of October 2022. Castellum, Inc. provides services in the areas of cybersecurity, information technology, electronic warfare, information warfare, and information operations. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Bethesda, Maryland. Castellum operates under Information Technology Services classification in the United States and is traded on AMEX Exchange. For more info on Castellum please contact Mark Fuller at 301 961 4895 or go to https://www.castellumus.com.Castellum Investment Alerts
Castellum has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
Castellum had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
Castellum has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
The company reported the last year's revenue of 45.24 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (17.8 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 17.6 M. | |
Castellum has about 1.85 M in cash with (2.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05. | |
Castellum has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
Roughly 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 1800000 shares by David Bell of Castellum at 3.8 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Castellum Upcoming and Recent Events
13th of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View |
Castellum Largest EPS Surprises
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Castellum's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-08-14 | 2023-06-30 | -0.04 | -0.044 | -0.004 | 10 | ||
2023-11-14 | 2023-09-30 | -0.04 | -0.05 | -0.01 | 25 |
Castellum Market Capitalization
The company currently falls under 'Nano-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 9.43 M.Castellum Profitablity
The company has Net Profit Margin of (0.38) %, which means that it does not effectively control expenditures or properly executes on its pricing strategies. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of (0.14) %, which entails that for every $100 of revenue, it lost $0.14.Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Return On Tangible Assets | (1.71) | (1.79) | |
Return On Capital Employed | (0.44) | (0.42) | |
Return On Assets | (0.59) | (0.62) | |
Return On Equity | (1.37) | (1.31) |
Management Efficiency
Castellum has Return on Asset of (0.1369) % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it lost $0.1369. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of (1.0159) %, meaning that it generated no profit with money invested by stockholders. Castellum's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Castellum manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of the 22nd of November 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -1.79. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to -0.42. At this time, Castellum's Total Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 22nd of November 2024, Total Current Assets is likely to grow to about 10 M, while Non Current Assets Total are likely to drop about 12.8 M.Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Book Value Per Share | 0.27 | 0.29 | |
Tangible Book Value Per Share | (0.14) | (0.15) | |
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | (1.82) | (1.73) | |
Price Book Value Ratio | 1.09 | 1.14 | |
Enterprise Value Multiple | (1.82) | (1.73) | |
Price Fair Value | 1.09 | 1.14 | |
Enterprise Value | 24.2 M | 19.2 M |
Understanding the operational decisions made by Castellum management offers insights into its financial robustness. This evaluation is crucial for assessing the stock's investment potential.
Operating Margin (0.14) | Profit Margin (0.38) | Beta (0.86) | Return On Assets (0.14) | Return On Equity (1.02) |
Technical Drivers
As of the 22nd of November, Castellum shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0252, mean deviation of 2.31, and Downside Deviation of 7.76. Castellum technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Castellum variance, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and skewness to decide if Castellum is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 0.1604 per share. As Castellum appears to be a penny stock we also recommend to validate its total risk alpha numbers.Castellum Price Movement Analysis
The output start index for this execution was thirteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Castellum middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Castellum. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.
Castellum Insider Trading Activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Castellum insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Castellum's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Castellum insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Castellum Predictive Daily Indicators
Castellum intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Castellum stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
Rate Of Daily Change | 0.94 | |||
Day Median Price | 0.16 | |||
Day Typical Price | 0.16 | |||
Price Action Indicator | (0) | |||
Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) | |||
Relative Strength Index | 58.74 |
Castellum Forecast Models
Castellum's time-series forecasting models are one of many Castellum's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Castellum's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.About Castellum Stock Analysis
Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Castellum prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Castellum shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Castellum. By using and applying Castellum Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Castellum entry and exit points for their positions.
Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Pretax Profit Margin | (0.42) | (0.44) | |
Operating Profit Margin | (0.22) | (0.23) | |
Net Loss | (0.39) | (0.41) | |
Gross Profit Margin | 0.41 | 0.43 |
Current Castellum Analysis - Recommendations
We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Castellum analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Castellum analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
1.4 | Strong Buy | 1 | Odds |
Most Castellum analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Castellum stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Castellum, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Castellum conference calls.
Castellum Stock Analysis Indicators
Castellum stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Castellum stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Castellum shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Castellum stock analysis, traders can identify Castellum position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow | 4.6 M | |
Long Term Debt | 8.4 M | |
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 47.2 M | |
Total Stockholder Equity | 12.9 M | |
Tax Provision | -1.2 M | |
Property Plant And Equipment Net | 923.3 K | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 M | |
Cash | 1.8 M | |
Accounts Payable | 785 K | |
Net Debt | 10.1 M | |
50 Day M A | 0.1688 | |
Total Current Liabilities | 8 M | |
Other Operating Expenses | 55.1 M | |
Non Current Assets Total | 20.6 M | |
Stock Based Compensation | 7.5 M |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Castellum. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate. To learn how to invest in Castellum Stock, please use our How to Invest in Castellum guide.You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Castellum. If investors know Castellum will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Castellum listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.17) | Revenue Per Share 0.886 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) | Return On Assets (0.14) | Return On Equity (1.02) |
The market value of Castellum is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Castellum that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Castellum's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Castellum's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Castellum's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Castellum's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Castellum's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Castellum is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Castellum's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.