Castellum Stock Technical Analysis
| CTM Stock | USD 0.99 0.02 1.98% |
As of the 25th of January, Castellum shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0214, downside deviation of 3.43, and Mean Deviation of 3.26. Castellum technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Castellum variance, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and skewness to decide if Castellum is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 0.99 per share. Given that Castellum is a hitting penny stock territory we recommend to closely look at its total risk alpha.
Castellum Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Castellum, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to CastellumCastellum | Build AI portfolio with Castellum Stock |
Castellum Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 3.5 | Buy | 1 | Odds |
Most Castellum analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Castellum stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Castellum, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Castellum conference calls.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Castellum. If investors know Castellum will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Castellum listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.06) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.259 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Castellum is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Castellum that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Castellum's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Castellum's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Castellum's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Castellum's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Castellum's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Castellum is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Castellum's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Castellum 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Castellum's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Castellum.
| 10/27/2025 |
| 01/25/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Castellum on October 27, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Castellum or generate 0.0% return on investment in Castellum over 90 days. Castellum is related to or competes with CSP, QuickLogic, Shotspotter, ZenaTech, Nerdy, TTEC Holdings, and KVH Industries. Castellum, Inc. provides services in the areas of cybersecurity, information technology, electronic warfare, information... More
Castellum Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Castellum's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Castellum upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 3.43 | |||
| Information Ratio | 2.0E-4 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 21.35 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.50) | |||
| Potential Upside | 11.0 |
Castellum Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Castellum's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Castellum's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Castellum historical prices to predict the future Castellum's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0214 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0249 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.35) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 2.0E-4 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1068 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Castellum's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Castellum January 25, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0214 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1168 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.26 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.2 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.43 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 5616.41 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.44 | |||
| Variance | 19.73 | |||
| Information Ratio | 2.0E-4 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0249 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.35) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 2.0E-4 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1068 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 21.35 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.50) | |||
| Potential Upside | 11.0 | |||
| Downside Variance | 11.78 | |||
| Semi Variance | 10.27 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.56) | |||
| Skewness | 1.12 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.62 |
Castellum Backtested Returns
As of now, Castellum Stock is dangerous. Castellum secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0178, which signifies that the company had a 0.0178 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Castellum, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Castellum's Mean Deviation of 3.26, downside deviation of 3.43, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0214 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.08%. Castellum has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.65, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Castellum's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Castellum is expected to be smaller as well. Castellum right now shows a risk of 4.49%. Please confirm Castellum value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to decide if Castellum will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.22 |
Weak reverse predictability
Castellum has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Castellum time series from 27th of October 2025 to 11th of December 2025 and 11th of December 2025 to 25th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Castellum price movement. The serial correlation of -0.22 indicates that over 22.0% of current Castellum price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.22 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.05 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Castellum technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Castellum Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was thirty-six with a total number of output elements of twenty-five. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Castellum volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Castellum Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Castellum on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Castellum based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Castellum price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Castellum. By analyzing Castellum's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Castellum's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Castellum specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.008404 | 0.001079 | 9.71E-4 | 9.22E-4 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.31 | 2.47 | 2.84 | 2.7 |
Castellum January 25, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Castellum help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Castellum from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Castellum charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0214 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1168 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.26 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.2 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.43 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 5616.41 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.44 | |||
| Variance | 19.73 | |||
| Information Ratio | 2.0E-4 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0249 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.35) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 2.0E-4 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1068 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 21.35 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.50) | |||
| Potential Upside | 11.0 | |||
| Downside Variance | 11.78 | |||
| Semi Variance | 10.27 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.56) | |||
| Skewness | 1.12 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.62 |
Castellum January 25, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Castellum stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.04 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.50) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | ||
| Day Median Price | 1.01 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 1.00 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.03) | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.04 |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Castellum. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real. To learn how to invest in Castellum Stock, please use our How to Invest in Castellum guide.You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Castellum. If investors know Castellum will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Castellum listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.06) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.259 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Castellum is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Castellum that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Castellum's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Castellum's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Castellum's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Castellum's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Castellum's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Castellum is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Castellum's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.