Castellum Stock Technical Analysis
| CTM Stock | USD 0.82 0.01 0.76% |
As of the 16th of February 2026, Castellum shows the Standard Deviation of 3.78, risk adjusted performance of (0.10), and Mean Deviation of 2.67. Castellum technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Castellum market risk adjusted performance, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the Information Ratio and skewness to decide if Castellum is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 0.82370001 per share. Given that Castellum is a hitting penny stock territory we recommend to closely look at its jensen alpha.
Castellum Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Castellum, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to CastellumCastellum | Build AI portfolio with Castellum Stock |
Castellum Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 3.5 | Buy | 1 | Odds |
Most Castellum analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Castellum stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Castellum, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Castellum conference calls.
Will Application Software sector continue expanding? Could Castellum diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Castellum. Projected growth potential of Castellum fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Castellum data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (0.06) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.259 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Castellum is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Castellum that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Castellum's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Castellum's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Castellum's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Castellum's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Castellum's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Castellum should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Castellum's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Castellum 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Castellum's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Castellum.
| 11/18/2025 |
| 02/16/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Castellum on November 18, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Castellum or generate 0.0% return on investment in Castellum over 90 days. Castellum is related to or competes with CSP, QuickLogic, Shotspotter, ZenaTech, Nerdy, TTEC Holdings, and KVH Industries. Castellum, Inc. provides services in the areas of cybersecurity, information technology, electronic warfare, information... More
Castellum Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Castellum's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Castellum upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.15) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 19.58 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.80) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.27 |
Castellum Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Castellum's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Castellum's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Castellum historical prices to predict the future Castellum's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.10) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.59) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.80) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.47) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Castellum's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Castellum February 16, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.10) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.46) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.67 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (736.59) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.78 | |||
| Variance | 14.27 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.15) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.59) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.80) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.47) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 19.58 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.80) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.27 | |||
| Skewness | 1.02 | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.31 |
Castellum Backtested Returns
Castellum secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.1, which signifies that the company had a -0.1 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Castellum exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Castellum's Standard Deviation of 3.78, mean deviation of 2.67, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.10) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.11, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Castellum returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Castellum is expected to follow. At this point, Castellum has a negative expected return of -0.37%. Please make sure to confirm Castellum's treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Castellum performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.41 |
Average predictability
Castellum has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Castellum time series from 18th of November 2025 to 2nd of January 2026 and 2nd of January 2026 to 16th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Castellum price movement. The serial correlation of 0.41 indicates that just about 41.0% of current Castellum price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.41 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.24 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
Castellum technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Castellum Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Castellum across different markets.
About Castellum Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Castellum on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Castellum based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Castellum price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Castellum. By analyzing Castellum's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Castellum's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Castellum specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.008404 | 0.001079 | 9.71E-4 | 9.22E-4 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.31 | 2.47 | 2.84 | 2.7 |
Castellum February 16, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Castellum help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Castellum from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Castellum charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.10) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.46) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.67 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (736.59) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.78 | |||
| Variance | 14.27 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.15) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.59) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.80) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.47) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 19.58 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.80) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.27 | |||
| Skewness | 1.02 | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.31 |
Castellum February 16, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Castellum stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.05 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.16) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | ||
| Day Median Price | 0.83 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 0.83 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.04 |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Castellum. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons. To learn how to invest in Castellum Stock, please use our How to Invest in Castellum guide.You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Will Application Software sector continue expanding? Could Castellum diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Castellum. Projected growth potential of Castellum fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Castellum data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (0.06) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.259 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Castellum is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Castellum that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Castellum's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Castellum's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Castellum's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Castellum's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Castellum's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Castellum should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Castellum's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.