Evoke Pharma Stock Analysis

EVOK Stock  USD 4.51  0.06  1.35%   
Evoke Pharma is undervalued with Real Value of 7.75 and Target Price of 18.0. The main objective of Evoke Pharma stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Evoke Pharma is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Evoke Pharma's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Evoke Pharma stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
  
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Evoke Pharma. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
For more information on how to buy Evoke Stock please use our How to buy in Evoke Stock guide.

Evoke Stock Analysis Notes

About 17.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.58. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Evoke Pharma recorded a loss per share of 10.13. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:12 split on the 1st of August 2024. Evoke Pharma, Inc., a specialty pharmaceutical company, primarily focuses on the development and commercialization of drugs for the treatment of gastroenterological disorders and diseases. Evoke Pharma, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Solana Beach, California. Evoke Pharma operates under Drug ManufacturersSpecialty Generic classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 4 people. To learn more about Evoke Pharma call David RPh at 858 345 1494 or check out https://www.evokepharma.com.

Evoke Pharma Investment Alerts

Evoke Pharma generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Evoke Pharma has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Evoke Pharma has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 5.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.32 M.
Evoke Pharma currently holds about 13.45 M in cash with (4.98 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.02.
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Insider Trading

Evoke Pharma Upcoming and Recent Events

19th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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Evoke Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Evoke Pharma's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-05-14
2024-03-31-0.21-0.170.0419 
2024-03-14
2023-12-31-0.5-0.59-0.0918 
2023-05-15
2023-03-31-0.58-0.67-0.0915 
View All Earnings Estimates

Evoke Pharma Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Evoke Pharma's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Evoke Pharma's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Evoke Pharma's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Evoke Pharma's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Evoke Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
0.0
Wells Fargo & Co2024-06-30
0.0
Federation Des Caisses Desjardins Du Quebec2024-06-30
0.0
Millennium Management Llc2024-06-30
0.0
Aigh Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
70.5 K
Bleichroeder Lp2024-09-30
68.8 K
Nantahala Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
56.2 K
Corsair Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
11.7 K
Tower Research Capital Llc2024-09-30
816
Blackrock Inc2024-09-30
122
Ubs Group Ag2024-09-30
90.0
Note, although Evoke Pharma's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Evoke Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Nano-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 6.91 M.

Evoke Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.71) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.48) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.48.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.99)(1.04)
Return On Capital Employed 3.31  3.48 
Return On Assets(0.99)(1.04)
Return On Equity 2.72  2.85 

Management Efficiency

Evoke Pharma has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.335) % which means that it has lost $0.335 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (3.4991) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Evoke Pharma's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Evoke Pharma manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Evoke Pharma's Return On Capital Employed is quite stable compared to the past year. Return On Equity is expected to rise to 2.85 this year, although the value of Return On Tangible Assets will most likely fall to (1.04). At this time, Evoke Pharma's Total Current Liabilities is quite stable compared to the past year. Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is expected to rise to about 10.1 M this year, although the value of Non Current Liabilities Total will most likely fall to about 4.8 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share(8.33)(8.75)
Tangible Book Value Per Share(8.33)(8.75)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(0.47)(0.49)
Price Book Value Ratio(1.22)(1.16)
Enterprise Value Multiple(0.47)(0.49)
Price Fair Value(1.22)(1.16)
Enterprise Value4.3 M4.1 M
The management team at Evoke Pharma has a track record of steering the company towards sustained growth. Evaluating their strategies helps in understanding the stock's long-term potential.
Operating Margin
(0.48)
Profit Margin
(0.71)
Beta
0.348
Return On Assets
(0.34)
Return On Equity
(3.50)

Technical Drivers

As of the 31st of January, Evoke Pharma shows the Downside Deviation of 4.75, coefficient of variation of 140822.21, and Mean Deviation of 3.91. Evoke Pharma technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices.

Evoke Pharma Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was fourty-four with a total number of output elements of seventeen. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Evoke Pharma middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Evoke Pharma. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Evoke Pharma Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Evoke Pharma insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Evoke Pharma's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Evoke Pharma insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
Nantahala Capital Management, Llc a day ago
Insider Trading
 
Marilyn Carlson 3 days ago
Acquisition by Marilyn Carlson of 11000 shares of Evoke Pharma at 4.45 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Nantahala Capital Management, Llc few days ago
Insider Trading
 
Nantahala Capital Management, Llc few days ago
Insider Trading
 
Nantahala Capital Management, Llc few days ago
Insider Trading
 
Nantahala Capital Management, Llc six days ago
Insider Trading
 
Nantahala Capital Management, Llc over a week ago
Insider Trading
 
Nantahala Capital Management, Llc over a week ago
Insider Trading
 
Nantahala Capital Management, Llc over a week ago
Insider Trading
 
Nantahala Capital Management, Llc over a week ago
Insider Trading
 
Nantahala Capital Management, Llc over a week ago
Insider Trading
 
Nantahala Capital Management, Llc over a week ago
Insider Trading

Evoke Pharma Outstanding Bonds

Evoke Pharma issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Evoke Pharma uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Evoke bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Evoke Pharma has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Evoke Pharma Predictive Daily Indicators

Evoke Pharma intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Evoke Pharma stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Evoke Pharma Corporate Filings

F4
30th of January 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
29th of January 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
22nd of November 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F3
15th of November 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
13A
14th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
10Q
7th of November 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
F3
6th of November 2024
An amendment to the original Schedule 13D filing
ViewVerify
13A
29th of October 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify

Evoke Pharma Forecast Models

Evoke Pharma's time-series forecasting models are one of many Evoke Pharma's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Evoke Pharma's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Evoke Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Evoke Pharma prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Evoke shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Evoke Pharma. By using and applying Evoke Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Evoke entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(1.35)(1.42)
Operating Profit Margin(1.29)(1.36)
Net Loss(1.35)(1.42)
Gross Profit Margin 0.86  0.91 

Current Evoke Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Evoke analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Evoke analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
18.0Buy1Odds
Evoke Pharma current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Evoke analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Evoke stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Evoke Pharma, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Evoke conference calls.
Evoke Analyst Advice Details

Evoke Stock Analysis Indicators

Evoke Pharma stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Evoke Pharma stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Evoke Pharma shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Evoke Pharma stock analysis, traders can identify Evoke Pharma position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow9.8 M
Long Term DebtM
Common Stock Shares Outstanding278.6 K
Total Stockholder Equity-2.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.7 M
Cash4.7 M
Accounts Payable1.7 M
Net Debt260.6 K
50 Day M A4.4906
Total Current Liabilities9.6 M
Other Operating Expenses12.6 M
Non Current Assets Total241.6 K
Non Currrent Assets Other241.6 K
Stock Based Compensation1.1 M
When determining whether Evoke Pharma is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Evoke Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Evoke Pharma Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Evoke Pharma Stock:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Evoke Pharma. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
For more information on how to buy Evoke Stock please use our How to buy in Evoke Stock guide.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is Pharmaceuticals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Evoke Pharma. If investors know Evoke will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Evoke Pharma listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(10.13)
Revenue Per Share
7.792
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.698
Return On Assets
(0.34)
Return On Equity
(3.50)
The market value of Evoke Pharma is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Evoke that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Evoke Pharma's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Evoke Pharma's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Evoke Pharma's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Evoke Pharma's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Evoke Pharma's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Evoke Pharma is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Evoke Pharma's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.