Aurora Mobile Stock Analysis

JG Stock  USD 7.40  2.33  45.96%   
Aurora Mobile is overvalued with Real Value of 3.48 and Target Price of 1.16. The main objective of Aurora Mobile stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Aurora Mobile is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Aurora Mobile's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Aurora Mobile stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Aurora Mobile's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Aurora Mobile. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
For more detail on how to invest in Aurora Stock please use our How to Invest in Aurora Mobile guide.

Aurora Stock Analysis Notes

The book value of the company was currently reported as 12.44. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.55. Aurora Mobile had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:20 split on the 11th of December 2023. Aurora Mobile Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as a mobile app developer service provider in China. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the Peoples Republic of China. Aurora Mobile operates under SoftwareInfrastructure classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 541 people. To learn more about Aurora Mobile call the company at 86 755 8388 1462 or check out https://www.jiguang.cn.

Aurora Mobile Quarterly Total Revenue

79.05 Million

Aurora Mobile Investment Alerts

Aurora Mobile is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Aurora Mobile appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Aurora Mobile reports 4.64 M of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.73, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Aurora Mobile has a current ratio of 0.78, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Aurora to invest in growth at high rates of return.
The entity generated the yearly revenue of 290.23 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (62.67 M) with gross profit of 225.76 M.
Aurora Mobile reports about 111.84 M in cash with (17.91 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.94.
Aurora Mobile has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from cnbc.com: Piper Sandler says this tech stock thats up 700 percent in 2024 has more room to run

Aurora Mobile Upcoming and Recent Events

14th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View

Aurora Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Aurora Mobile's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-11-23
2022-09-30-0.03-0.04-0.0133 
2022-06-09
2022-03-31-0.33-0.220.1133 
2021-11-23
2021-09-30-0.08-0.22-0.14175 
View All Earnings Estimates

Aurora Mobile Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Aurora Mobile's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Aurora Mobile's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Aurora Mobile's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Aurora Mobile's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Aurora Mobile Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Aurora Mobile stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Business Services Idea
Business Services
USA Equities from Business Services industry as classified by Fama & French

Aurora Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Fosun International Ltd2024-09-30
434.4 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-06-30
2.7 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
K
Rhumbline Advisers2024-06-30
1.9 K
Larson Financial Group, Llc2024-06-30
911
Emfo, Llc2024-06-30
350
Farmers And Merchants Trust Company Of Chambersburg2024-09-30
200
Qube Research & Technologies2024-06-30
4.0
Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Co2024-06-30
0.0
Note, although Aurora Mobile's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Aurora Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Micro-Cap' category with a market capitalization of 44.29 M.

Aurora Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin (PM) of (0.09) %, which may indicate that it does not properly execute on its own pricing strategies. This is way below average. Likewise, it shows Net Operating Margin (NOM) of (0.01) %, which signifies that for every 100 dollars of sales, it has a net operating loss of $0.01.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.21)(0.22)
Return On Capital Employed(0.47)(0.49)
Return On Assets(0.18)(0.19)
Return On Equity(0.84)(0.80)

Management Efficiency

Aurora Mobile has Return on Asset (ROA) of (0.0459) % which means that for every 100 dollars spent on asset, it generated a loss of $0.0459. This is way below average. Likewise, it shows a return on total equity (ROE) of (0.2424) %, which implies that it produced no returns to current stockholders. Aurora Mobile's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Aurora Mobile manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to decrease to -0.22. The current Return On Capital Employed is estimated to decrease to -0.49. At this time, Aurora Mobile's Non Currrent Assets Other are most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Aurora Mobile's current Other Assets is estimated to increase to about 4.4 M, while Other Current Assets are projected to decrease to roughly 17.7 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 17.35  30.60 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 8.03  7.63 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(0.21)(0.22)
Price Book Value Ratio 1.64  1.73 
Enterprise Value Multiple(0.21)(0.22)
Price Fair Value 1.64  1.73 
Enterprise Value11 M10.5 M
At Aurora Mobile, effective management practices are pivotal to sustaining long-term profitability. We delve into financial metrics and market conditions to provide a comprehensive analysis of the stock's prospects.
Operating Margin
(0.01)
Profit Margin
(0.09)
Beta
1.097
Return On Assets
(0.05)
Return On Equity
(0.24)

Technical Drivers

As of the 21st of November, Aurora Mobile shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1332, mean deviation of 6.13, and Downside Deviation of 7.82. Aurora Mobile technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Aurora Mobile variance, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and semi variance to decide if Aurora Mobile is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 7.4 per share. Given that Aurora Mobile has jensen alpha of 1.55, we suggest you to validate Aurora Mobile's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Aurora Mobile Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was twenty-three with a total number of output elements of thirty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Aurora Mobile middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Aurora Mobile. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Aurora Mobile Outstanding Bonds

Aurora Mobile issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Aurora Mobile uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Aurora bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Aurora Mobile has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Aurora Mobile Predictive Daily Indicators

Aurora Mobile intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Aurora Mobile stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Aurora Mobile Corporate Filings

6K
15th of November 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
30th of August 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
7th of June 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
12th of April 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
6K
14th of March 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
13A
20th of February 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
13A
9th of February 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
13A
7th of February 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify

Aurora Mobile Forecast Models

Aurora Mobile's time-series forecasting models are one of many Aurora Mobile's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Aurora Mobile's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Aurora Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Aurora Mobile prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Aurora shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Aurora Mobile. By using and applying Aurora Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Aurora entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.22)(0.23)
Operating Profit Margin(0.18)(0.18)
Net Loss(0.21)(0.22)
Gross Profit Margin 0.69  0.37 

Current Aurora Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Aurora analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Aurora analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
1.16Strong Buy1Odds
Aurora Mobile current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Aurora analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Aurora stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Aurora Mobile, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Aurora conference calls.
Aurora Analyst Advice Details

Aurora Stock Analysis Indicators

Aurora Mobile stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Aurora Mobile stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Aurora Mobile shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Aurora Mobile stock analysis, traders can identify Aurora Mobile position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow116.3 M
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM
Total Stockholder Equity73.5 M
Tax Provision-1.9 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net5.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments114.5 M
Cash114.5 M
Accounts Payable21.1 M
Net Debt-109.9 M
50 Day M A6.1764
Total Current Liabilities241.3 M
Other Operating Expenses341.1 M
Non Current Assets Total180.6 M
Forward Price Earnings7.2886
Non Currrent Assets Other5.4 M
Stock Based Compensation11.6 M

Complementary Tools for Aurora Stock analysis

When running Aurora Mobile's price analysis, check to measure Aurora Mobile's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aurora Mobile is operating at the current time. Most of Aurora Mobile's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aurora Mobile's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aurora Mobile's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aurora Mobile to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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