Ugi Corporation Stock Statistic Functions Time Series Forecast

UGI Stock  USD 24.78  0.47  1.93%   
UGI statistic functions tool provides the execution environment for running the Time Series Forecast function and other technical functions against UGI. UGI value trend is the prevailing direction of the price over some defined period of time. The concept of trend is an important idea in technical analysis, including the analysis of statistic functions indicators. As with most other technical indicators, the Time Series Forecast function function is designed to identify and follow existing trends. UGI statistical functions help analysts to determine different price movement patterns based on how price series statistical indicators change over time. Please specify Time Period to run this model.

Execute Function
The output start index for this execution was twenty-three with a total number of output elements of thirty-eight. The Time Series Forecast uses simple linear regression to derive UGI Corporation best fit line over a given time period and plot it forward over user-defined time period.

UGI Technical Analysis Modules

Most technical analysis of UGI help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for UGI from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze UGI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About UGI Predictive Technical Analysis

Predictive technical analysis modules help investors to analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of UGI Corporation. We use our internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of UGI Corporation based on widely used predictive technical indicators. In general, we focus on analyzing UGI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. We also apply predictive analytics to build UGI's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers, such as statistic functions and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of UGI's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for UGI, we also check how macroeconomic factors affect UGI price patterns. Please read more on our technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.
 2021 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.04360.07340.0736
Price To Sales Ratio0.670.880.56
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.4924.7826.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.2323.5224.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.0825.3726.66
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
32.0835.2539.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as UGI. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against UGI's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, UGI's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in UGI Corporation.

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As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios' performance accurately. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing you full analytical transparency into your positions, our tools can tell you how much better you can do without increasing your risk or reducing expected return.

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UGI Corporation pair trading

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if UGI position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in UGI will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

UGI Pair Trading

UGI Corporation Pair Trading Analysis

The ability to find closely correlated positions to UGI could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace UGI when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back UGI - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling UGI Corporation to buy it.
The correlation of UGI is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as UGI moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if UGI Corporation moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for UGI can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether UGI Corporation offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of UGI's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ugi Corporation Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ugi Corporation Stock:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in UGI Corporation. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Gas Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of UGI. If investors know UGI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about UGI listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.51
Dividend Share
1.5
Earnings Share
3.14
Revenue Per Share
35.102
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.17)
The market value of UGI Corporation is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of UGI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of UGI's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is UGI's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because UGI's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect UGI's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between UGI's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if UGI is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, UGI's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.