Ugi Corporation Stock Price Patterns

UGI Stock  USD 37.83  2.56  6.34%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of UGI's stock price is under 63. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 5th of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling UGI, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 63

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of UGI's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with UGI Corporation, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting UGI's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.05)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.32
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.095
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.395
Wall Street Target Price
44.5
Using UGI hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of UGI Corporation from the perspective of UGI response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards UGI using UGI's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards UGI using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of UGI's stock price.

UGI Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in UGI's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards UGI. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of UGI stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
35.5289
Short Percent
0.0892
Short Ratio
8.04
Shares Short Prior Month
11.6 M
50 Day MA
38.3078

UGI Corporation Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to UGI's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in UGI. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding UGI can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around UGI Corporation. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of UGI's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about UGI.

UGI Implied Volatility

    
  0.54  
UGI's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of UGI Corporation stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if UGI's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that UGI stock will not fluctuate a lot when UGI's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in UGI to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying UGI because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

UGI after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 37.87  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current UGI contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that UGI Corporation will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0338% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With UGI trading at USD 37.83, that is roughly USD 0.0128 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating UGI's daily price movement you should consider acquiring UGI Corporation options at the current volatility level of 0.54%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out UGI Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.0544.3745.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
37.5539.1340.71
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
40.5044.5049.40
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.04-0.04-0.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as UGI. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against UGI's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, UGI's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in UGI Corporation.

UGI After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of UGI at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in UGI or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of UGI, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

UGI Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting UGI's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on UGI's historical news coverage. UGI's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.29 and 39.45, respectively. We have considered UGI's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
37.83
37.87
After-hype Price
39.45
Upside
UGI is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of UGI Corporation is based on 3 months time horizon.

UGI Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as UGI is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading UGI backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with UGI, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.21 
1.58
  0.04 
  0.02 
10 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
37.83
37.87
0.11 
831.58  
Notes

UGI Hype Timeline

On the 5th of February UGI Corporation is traded for 37.83. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. UGI is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 37.87 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on UGI is about 1327.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.85. The company reported the last year's revenue of 7.29 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 678 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 7.29 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out UGI Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

UGI Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to UGI's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict UGI's future price movements. Getting to know how UGI's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how UGI may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CMSCMS Energy 0.30 9 per month 1.08 (0.05) 1.32 (1.44) 5.00 
SRSpire Inc 0.25 11 per month 1.21 (0.04) 1.56 (2.11) 4.16 
IDAIDACORP 0.98 8 per month 0.84  0.06  1.66 (1.35) 4.65 
ELPCCompanhia Paranaense de 0.19 9 per month 2.84  0.06  4.60 (4.17) 13.43 
SWXSouthwest Gas Holdings 0.06 9 per month 1.14  0.03  1.96 (1.68) 5.91 
OGSOne Gas(0.11)8 per month 0.97  0.02  1.39 (1.64) 4.05 
BIPCBrookfield Infrastructure Corp(0.11)9 per month 1.07  0.08  2.13 (2.24) 6.90 
PCGPGE Corp(0.19)12 per month 1.47  0.0008  1.79 (2.31) 6.66 
BIPBrookfield Infrastructure Partners(0.01)7 per month 0.97  0.09  1.61 (1.59) 5.53 
NJRNewJersey Resources(0.17)12 per month 0.72  0.21  1.74 (1.72) 7.11 

UGI Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine UGI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for UGI using various technical indicators. When you analyze UGI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About UGI Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of UGI stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as UGI Corporation, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of UGI based on analysis of UGI hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to UGI's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to UGI's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.06010.0450.0530.0718
Price To Sales Ratio0.730.980.880.57

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Complementary Tools for UGI Stock analysis

When running UGI's price analysis, check to measure UGI's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy UGI is operating at the current time. Most of UGI's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of UGI's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move UGI's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of UGI to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
AI Portfolio Prophet
Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities
ETF Categories
List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
USA ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA