Aaon Inc Stock Technical Analysis
| AAON Stock | USD 101.04 0.57 0.56% |
As of the 13th of February 2026, AAON shows the Coefficient Of Variation of (14,567), mean deviation of 2.18, and Variance of 7.45. AAON Inc technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the entity's future prices.
AAON Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as AAON, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AAONAAON's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.AAON Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 115.25 | Buy | 6 | Odds |
Most AAON analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand AAON stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of AAON Inc, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to AAON conference calls.
Will Building Products sector continue expanding? Could AAON diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AAON. If investors know AAON will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every AAON data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.69) | Dividend Share 0.38 | Earnings Share 1.25 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.168 |
Investors evaluate AAON Inc using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating AAON's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause AAON's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that AAON's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether AAON represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, AAON's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
AAON 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AAON's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AAON.
| 11/15/2025 |
| 02/13/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in AAON on November 15, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AAON Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in AAON over 90 days. AAON is related to or competes with Armstrong World, Simpson Manufacturing, IES Holdings, Primoris Services, Fluor, Tetra Tech, and Advanced Energy. AAON, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in engineering, manufacturing, marketing, and selling air conditioni... More
AAON Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AAON's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AAON Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.83 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.14) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.95 |
AAON Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AAON's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AAON's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AAON historical prices to predict the future AAON's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0015 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.15) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.27) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.02) |
AAON February 13, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0015 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (14,567) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.73 | |||
| Variance | 7.45 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.15) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.27) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.83 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.14) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.95 | |||
| Skewness | (0.43) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.0183 |
AAON Inc Backtested Returns
As of now, AAON Stock is very steady. AAON Inc secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.072, which signifies that the company had a 0.072 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty technical indicators for AAON Inc, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm AAON's Mean Deviation of 2.18, coefficient of variation of (14,567), and Variance of 7.45 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.19%. AAON has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.76, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, AAON will likely underperform. AAON Inc at this time shows a risk of 2.66%. Please confirm AAON Inc variance, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the Potential Upside and day typical price , to decide if AAON Inc will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.78 |
Almost perfect reverse predictability
AAON Inc has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AAON time series from 15th of November 2025 to 30th of December 2025 and 30th of December 2025 to 13th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AAON Inc price movement. The serial correlation of -0.78 indicates that around 78.0% of current AAON price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.78 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.76 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 49.46 |
AAON technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
AAON Inc Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for AAON Inc across different markets.
About AAON Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of AAON Inc on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of AAON Inc based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on AAON Inc price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding AAON Inc. By analyzing AAON's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of AAON's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to AAON specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.004411 | 0.002721 | 0.003129 | 0.002972 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.13 | 7.99 | 7.19 | 7.55 |
AAON February 13, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of AAON help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AAON from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze AAON charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0015 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (14,567) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.73 | |||
| Variance | 7.45 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.15) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.27) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.83 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.14) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.95 | |||
| Skewness | (0.43) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.0183 |
AAON February 13, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AAON stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (Huge) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | ||
| Day Median Price | 101.04 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 101.04 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.28) |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in AAON Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Will Building Products sector continue expanding? Could AAON diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AAON. If investors know AAON will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every AAON data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.69) | Dividend Share 0.38 | Earnings Share 1.25 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.168 |
Investors evaluate AAON Inc using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating AAON's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause AAON's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that AAON's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether AAON represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, AAON's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.