Allied Gold Stock Technical Analysis
| AAUC Stock | 31.47 0.18 0.58% |
As of the 16th of February 2026, Allied Gold shows the Mean Deviation of 2.02, risk adjusted performance of 0.2946, and Downside Deviation of 2.38. Allied Gold technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Allied Gold Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Allied, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AlliedAllied Gold's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Will Metals & Mining sector continue expanding? Could Allied diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Allied Gold. If investors know Allied will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Allied Gold data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (1.11) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.979 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Allied Gold's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Allied's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Allied Gold's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Allied Gold's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Allied Gold's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Allied Gold represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Allied Gold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Allied Gold 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Allied Gold's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Allied Gold.
| 11/18/2025 |
| 02/16/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Allied Gold on November 18, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Allied Gold or generate 0.0% return on investment in Allied Gold over 90 days. Allied Gold is related to or competes with Morningstar Unconstrained, Thrivent High, Via Renewables, T Rowe, and Sitka Gold. Allied Gold is entity of United States. It is traded as Stock on NYSE exchange. More
Allied Gold Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Allied Gold's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Allied Gold upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.38 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.332 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 17.83 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.66) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.12 |
Allied Gold Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Allied Gold's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Allied Gold's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Allied Gold historical prices to predict the future Allied Gold's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2946 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.954 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.8068 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.4042 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.9007 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Allied Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Allied Gold February 16, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2946 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.9107 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.02 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.6 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.38 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 280.82 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.9 | |||
| Variance | 8.4 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.332 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.954 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.8068 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.4042 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.9007 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 17.83 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.66) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.12 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.67 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.54 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.48) | |||
| Skewness | 0.5565 | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.57 |
Allied Gold Backtested Returns
Allied Gold is very steady given 3 months investment horizon. Allied Gold secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.36, which signifies that the company had a 0.36 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We are able to break down and analyze data for twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.08% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Allied Gold Mean Deviation of 2.02, downside deviation of 2.38, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2946 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Allied Gold holds a performance score of 28 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.13, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Allied Gold returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Allied Gold is expected to follow. Use Allied Gold jensen alpha, potential upside, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and expected short fall , to analyze future returns on Allied Gold.
Auto-correlation | 0.91 |
Excellent predictability
Allied Gold has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Allied Gold time series from 18th of November 2025 to 2nd of January 2026 and 2nd of January 2026 to 16th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Allied Gold price movement. The serial correlation of 0.91 indicates that approximately 91.0% of current Allied Gold price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.91 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.88 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 8.23 |
Allied Gold technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Allied Gold Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Allied Gold across different markets.
About Allied Gold Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Allied Gold on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Allied Gold based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Allied Gold price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Allied Gold. By analyzing Allied Gold's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Allied Gold's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Allied Gold specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 13.43 | 17.82 | 20.49 | 19.06 | PTB Ratio | 4.69 | 5.99 | 6.89 | 6.55 |
Allied Gold February 16, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Allied help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Allied from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Allied charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2946 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.9107 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.02 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.6 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.38 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 280.82 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.9 | |||
| Variance | 8.4 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.332 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.954 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.8068 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.4042 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.9007 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 17.83 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.66) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.12 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.67 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.54 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.48) | |||
| Skewness | 0.5565 | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.57 |
Allied Gold February 16, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Allied stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.01 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.67 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | ||
| Day Median Price | 31.42 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 31.44 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.13 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.27 |
Complementary Tools for Allied Stock analysis
When running Allied Gold's price analysis, check to measure Allied Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Allied Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Allied Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Allied Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Allied Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Allied Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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