Ares Commercial Real Stock Technical Analysis
| ACRE Stock | USD 5.17 0.11 2.08% |
As of the 15th of February 2026, Ares Commercial shows the mean deviation of 1.63, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0723. Ares Commercial Real technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Ares Commercial Real downside deviation, treynor ratio, expected short fall, as well as the relationship between the variance and potential upside to decide if Ares Commercial Real is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 5.17 per share. Given that Ares Commercial has jensen alpha of 0.1239, we suggest you to validate Ares Commercial Real's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Ares Commercial Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Ares, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AresAres Commercial's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Ares Commercial Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 5.3 | Hold | 7 | Odds |
Most Ares analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Ares stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Ares Commercial Real, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Ares conference calls.
Will Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector continue expanding? Could Ares diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ares Commercial. If investors know Ares will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Ares Commercial data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 15.981 | Dividend Share 0.6 | Earnings Share (0.02) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.82) |
Understanding Ares Commercial Real requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Ares's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Ares Commercial's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Ares Commercial's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Ares Commercial's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Ares Commercial represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Ares Commercial's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Ares Commercial 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ares Commercial's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ares Commercial.
| 11/17/2025 |
| 02/15/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Ares Commercial on November 17, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ares Commercial Real or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ares Commercial over 90 days. Ares Commercial is related to or competes with Acres Commercial, Cherry Hill, Orion Office, Seven Hills, Rithm Property, Sunrise Realty, and Altisource Portfolio. Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation, a specialty finance company, originates and invests in commercial real estate l... More
Ares Commercial Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ares Commercial's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ares Commercial Real upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.95 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0528 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.95 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.92) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.16 |
Ares Commercial Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ares Commercial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ares Commercial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ares Commercial historical prices to predict the future Ares Commercial's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0723 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1239 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0072 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0666 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1733 |
Ares Commercial February 15, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0723 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1833 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.67 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.95 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1229.83 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.45 | |||
| Variance | 6.02 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0528 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1239 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0072 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0666 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1733 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.95 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.92) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.16 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.78 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.79 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.00) | |||
| Skewness | 1.66 | |||
| Kurtosis | 6.86 |
Ares Commercial Real Backtested Returns
At this point, Ares Commercial is slightly risky. Ares Commercial Real secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0723, which signifies that the company had a 0.0723 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Ares Commercial Real, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Ares Commercial's mean deviation of 1.63, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0723 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.18%. Ares Commercial has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.09, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Ares Commercial returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Ares Commercial is expected to follow. Ares Commercial Real right now shows a risk of 2.49%. Please confirm Ares Commercial Real treynor ratio, expected short fall, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and potential upside , to decide if Ares Commercial Real will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.35 |
Below average predictability
Ares Commercial Real has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ares Commercial time series from 17th of November 2025 to 1st of January 2026 and 1st of January 2026 to 15th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ares Commercial Real price movement. The serial correlation of 0.35 indicates that nearly 35.0% of current Ares Commercial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.35 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.16 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.06 |
Ares Commercial technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Ares Commercial Real Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Ares Commercial Real across different markets.
About Ares Commercial Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Ares Commercial Real on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ares Commercial Real based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Ares Commercial Real price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Ares Commercial Real. By analyzing Ares Commercial's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Ares Commercial's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Ares Commercial specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.19 | 0.15 | 0.08 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.65 | 3.07 | 2.92 |
Ares Commercial February 15, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Ares help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ares from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Ares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0723 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1833 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.67 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.95 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1229.83 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.45 | |||
| Variance | 6.02 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0528 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1239 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0072 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0666 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1733 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.95 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.92) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.16 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.78 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.79 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.00) | |||
| Skewness | 1.66 | |||
| Kurtosis | 6.86 |
Ares Commercial February 15, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ares stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.04 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.55) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | ||
| Day Median Price | 5.23 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 5.21 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.12) | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.20 |
Complementary Tools for Ares Stock analysis
When running Ares Commercial's price analysis, check to measure Ares Commercial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ares Commercial is operating at the current time. Most of Ares Commercial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ares Commercial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ares Commercial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ares Commercial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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