Adobe Systems Incorporated Stock Technical Analysis
| ADBE Stock | USD 291.65 7.93 2.65% |
As of the 30th of January, Adobe Systems shows the Standard Deviation of 1.86, risk adjusted performance of (0.10), and Mean Deviation of 1.36. Adobe Systems technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Adobe Systems treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and skewness to decide if Adobe Systems is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 291.65 per share. Given that Adobe Systems has information ratio of (0.18), we suggest you to validate Adobe Systems Incorporated's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Adobe Systems Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Adobe, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AdobeAdobe Systems' Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Adobe Systems Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 420.29 | Strong Buy | 38 | Odds |
Most Adobe analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Adobe stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Adobe Systems, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Adobe conference calls.
Will Application Software sector continue expanding? Could Adobe diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Adobe Systems. If investors know Adobe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Adobe Systems data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.172 | Earnings Share 16.71 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.105 | Return On Assets |
Adobe Systems's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Adobe's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Adobe Systems' intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Adobe Systems' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Adobe Systems' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Adobe Systems represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Adobe Systems' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Adobe Systems 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Adobe Systems' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Adobe Systems.
| 11/01/2025 |
| 01/30/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Adobe Systems on November 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Adobe Systems Incorporated or generate 0.0% return on investment in Adobe Systems over 90 days. Adobe Systems is related to or competes with Palo Alto, Crowdstrike Holdings, Texas Instruments, Accenture Plc, Sony Group, Dell Technologies, and KLA Tencor. Adobe Inc. operates as a diversified software company worldwide More
Adobe Systems Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Adobe Systems' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Adobe Systems Incorporated upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.18) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.74 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.65) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.95 |
Adobe Systems Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Adobe Systems' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Adobe Systems' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Adobe Systems historical prices to predict the future Adobe Systems' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.10) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.33) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.42) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.31) |
Adobe Systems January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.10) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.30) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (679.01) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Variance | 3.46 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.18) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.33) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.42) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.31) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.74 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.65) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.95 | |||
| Skewness | (0.46) | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.29 |
Adobe Systems Backtested Returns
Adobe Systems secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.13, which signifies that the company had a -0.13 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Adobe Systems Incorporated exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Adobe Systems' Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.10), mean deviation of 1.36, and Standard Deviation of 1.86 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.92, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Adobe Systems returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Adobe Systems is expected to follow. At this point, Adobe Systems has a negative expected return of -0.23%. Please make sure to confirm Adobe Systems' treynor ratio, skewness, rate of daily change, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and accumulation distribution , to decide if Adobe Systems performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.36 |
Poor reverse predictability
Adobe Systems Incorporated has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Adobe Systems time series from 1st of November 2025 to 16th of December 2025 and 16th of December 2025 to 30th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Adobe Systems price movement. The serial correlation of -0.36 indicates that just about 36.0% of current Adobe Systems price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.36 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.14 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 587.93 |
Adobe Systems technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Adobe Systems Technical Analysis
Indicator |
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The True Range is a measure of Adobe Systems volatility developed by Welles Wilder.
About Adobe Systems Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Adobe Systems Incorporated on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Adobe Systems Incorporated based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Adobe Systems price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Adobe Systems. By analyzing Adobe Systems's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Adobe Systems's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Adobe Systems specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.001805 | 0.001715 | Price To Sales Ratio | 13.63 | 14.31 |
Adobe Systems January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Adobe help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Adobe from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Adobe charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.10) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.30) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (679.01) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Variance | 3.46 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.18) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.33) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.42) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.31) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.74 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.65) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.95 | |||
| Skewness | (0.46) | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.29 |
Adobe Systems January 30, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Adobe stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 228,049 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.88) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | ||
| Day Median Price | 289.12 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 289.96 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.44) |
Complementary Tools for Adobe Stock analysis
When running Adobe Systems' price analysis, check to measure Adobe Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Adobe Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Adobe Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Adobe Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Adobe Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Adobe Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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