Applied Energetics Stock Technical Analysis

AERG Stock  USD 1.15  0.02  1.71%   
As of the 17th of February 2026, Applied Energetics shows the Standard Deviation of 3.79, mean deviation of 2.56, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.1). Applied Energetics technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate data for thirteen technical drivers for Applied Energetics, which can be compared to its peers. Please confirm Applied Energetics variance and value at risk to decide if Applied Energetics is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 1.15 per share. Given that Applied Energetics is a hitting penny stock territory we recommend to closely look at its jensen alpha.

Applied Energetics Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Applied, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Applied
  
Applied Energetics' Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Understanding that Applied Energetics' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Applied Energetics represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Applied Energetics' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.

Applied Energetics 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Applied Energetics' otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Applied Energetics.
0.00
11/19/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/17/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Applied Energetics on November 19, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Applied Energetics or generate 0.0% return on investment in Applied Energetics over 90 days. Applied Energetics is related to or competes with XP Power, Semperit Aktiengesellscha, Grupo Rotoplas, En-japan, Sunrise Energy, Nel ASA, and Alfen NV. Applied Energetics, Inc. engages in the development and manufacture of lasers, advanced optical systems, electronics, an... More

Applied Energetics Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Applied Energetics' otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Applied Energetics upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Applied Energetics Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Applied Energetics' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Applied Energetics' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Applied Energetics historical prices to predict the future Applied Energetics' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.194.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.144.90
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Applied Energetics February 17, 2026 Technical Indicators

Applied Energetics Backtested Returns

Applied Energetics secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0933, which signifies that the company had a -0.0933 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Applied Energetics exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Applied Energetics' Standard Deviation of 3.79, risk adjusted performance of (0.1), and Mean Deviation of 2.56 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.52, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Applied Energetics' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Applied Energetics is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Applied Energetics has a negative expected return of -0.35%. Please make sure to confirm Applied Energetics' value at risk, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and day typical price , to decide if Applied Energetics performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.66  

Very good reverse predictability

Applied Energetics has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Applied Energetics time series from 19th of November 2025 to 3rd of January 2026 and 3rd of January 2026 to 17th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Applied Energetics price movement. The serial correlation of -0.66 indicates that around 66.0% of current Applied Energetics price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.66
Spearman Rank Test-0.56
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.08
Applied Energetics technical otc stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, otc market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Applied Energetics technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Applied Energetics trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Applied Energetics Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Applied Energetics volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About Applied Energetics Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Applied Energetics on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Applied Energetics based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this otc stock, focuses on Applied Energetics price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Applied Energetics. By analyzing Applied Energetics's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Applied Energetics's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Applied Energetics specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Applied Energetics February 17, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Applied help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Applied from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Applied charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Applied Energetics February 17, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Applied stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for Applied OTC Stock analysis

When running Applied Energetics' price analysis, check to measure Applied Energetics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Applied Energetics is operating at the current time. Most of Applied Energetics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Applied Energetics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Applied Energetics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Applied Energetics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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