Aldeyra Stock Technical Analysis
| ALDX Stock | USD 5.54 0.31 5.93% |
As of the 27th of January, Aldeyra shows the risk adjusted performance of 0.0188, and Mean Deviation of 3.56. Aldeyra technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Aldeyra Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Aldeyra, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AldeyraAldeyra's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Aldeyra Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 9.67 | Strong Buy | 7 | Odds |
Most Aldeyra analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Aldeyra stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Aldeyra, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Aldeyra conference calls.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aldeyra. If investors know Aldeyra will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aldeyra listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Aldeyra is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aldeyra that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aldeyra's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aldeyra's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aldeyra's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aldeyra's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aldeyra's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aldeyra is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aldeyra's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Aldeyra 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aldeyra's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aldeyra.
| 10/29/2025 |
| 01/27/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Aldeyra on October 29, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aldeyra or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aldeyra over 90 days. Aldeyra is related to or competes with AC Immune, Mereo BioPharma, Silence Therapeutics, Cellectis, Genelux Common, Contineum Therapeutics, and Alto Neuroscience. Aldeyra Therapeutics, Inc., a biotechnology company, develops and commercializes medicines for immune-mediated ocular an... More
Aldeyra Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aldeyra's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aldeyra upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 4.68 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 42.93 | |||
| Value At Risk | (8.84) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.27 |
Aldeyra Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aldeyra's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aldeyra's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aldeyra historical prices to predict the future Aldeyra's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0188 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0562 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.50) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3402 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aldeyra's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aldeyra January 27, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0188 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3502 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.56 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.47 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.68 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 7328.18 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.93 | |||
| Variance | 35.2 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0562 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.50) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3402 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 42.93 | |||
| Value At Risk | (8.84) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.27 | |||
| Downside Variance | 21.91 | |||
| Semi Variance | 19.95 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.99) | |||
| Skewness | 2.56 | |||
| Kurtosis | 14.17 |
Aldeyra Backtested Returns
Aldeyra appears to be unstable, given 3 months investment horizon. Aldeyra secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0511, which signifies that the company had a 0.0511 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Aldeyra, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Aldeyra's risk adjusted performance of 0.0188, and Mean Deviation of 3.56 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Aldeyra holds a performance score of 4. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.21, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Aldeyra's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Aldeyra is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Aldeyra's standard deviation, expected short fall, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Aldeyra's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.26 |
Weak reverse predictability
Aldeyra has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aldeyra time series from 29th of October 2025 to 13th of December 2025 and 13th of December 2025 to 27th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aldeyra price movement. The serial correlation of -0.26 indicates that nearly 26.0% of current Aldeyra price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.26 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.05 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.25 |
Aldeyra technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Aldeyra Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Aldeyra volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Aldeyra Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Aldeyra on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aldeyra based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Aldeyra price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Aldeyra. By analyzing Aldeyra's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Aldeyra's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Aldeyra specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Aldeyra January 27, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Aldeyra help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aldeyra from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Aldeyra charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0188 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3502 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.56 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.47 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.68 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 7328.18 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.93 | |||
| Variance | 35.2 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0562 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.50) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3402 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 42.93 | |||
| Value At Risk | (8.84) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.27 | |||
| Downside Variance | 21.91 | |||
| Semi Variance | 19.95 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.99) | |||
| Skewness | 2.56 | |||
| Kurtosis | 14.17 |
Aldeyra January 27, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aldeyra stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 61,260 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.77 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.06 | ||
| Day Median Price | 5.45 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 5.48 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.24 |
Additional Tools for Aldeyra Stock Analysis
When running Aldeyra's price analysis, check to measure Aldeyra's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aldeyra is operating at the current time. Most of Aldeyra's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aldeyra's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aldeyra's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aldeyra to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.