Alamo Group Stock Technical Analysis
| ALG Stock | USD 208.38 5.69 2.81% |
As of the 8th of February, Alamo shows the risk adjusted performance of 0.1261, and Mean Deviation of 1.3. Alamo Group technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Alamo Group jensen alpha, semi variance, and the relationship between the standard deviation and value at risk to decide if Alamo Group is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 208.38 per share. Given that Alamo has jensen alpha of 0.1627, we suggest you to validate Alamo Group's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Alamo Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Alamo, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AlamoAlamo's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Alamo Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 219.75 | Strong Buy | 4 | Odds |
Most Alamo analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Alamo stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Alamo Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Alamo conference calls.
Can Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment industry sustain growth momentum? Does Alamo have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alamo. If investors know Alamo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Alamo demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.08) | Dividend Share 1.16 | Earnings Share 9.65 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.047 |
The market value of Alamo Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alamo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alamo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alamo's true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because Alamo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alamo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Alamo's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Alamo represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Alamo's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Alamo 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alamo's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alamo.
| 11/10/2025 |
| 02/08/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Alamo on November 10, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alamo Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alamo over 90 days. Alamo is related to or competes with Power Solutions, Enerpac Tool, Hub, Rev, Trinity Industries, Star Bulk, and Upwork. Alamo Group Inc. designs, manufactures, distributes, and services vegetation management and infrastructure maintenance e... More
Alamo Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alamo's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alamo Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.42 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0984 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.89 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.08) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.81 |
Alamo Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alamo's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alamo's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alamo historical prices to predict the future Alamo's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1261 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1627 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0789 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1206 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2263 |
Alamo February 8, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1261 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2363 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.42 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 667.29 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Variance | 3.04 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0984 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1627 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0789 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1206 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2263 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.89 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.08) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.81 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.02 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.51 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.48) | |||
| Skewness | 0.9164 | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.37 |
Alamo Group Backtested Returns
Alamo appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Alamo Group secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.23, which signifies that the company had a 0.23 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Alamo Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Alamo's risk adjusted performance of 0.1261, and Mean Deviation of 1.3 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Alamo holds a performance score of 18. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.11, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Alamo returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Alamo is expected to follow. Please check Alamo's sortino ratio, semi variance, and the relationship between the standard deviation and value at risk , to make a quick decision on whether Alamo's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.49 |
Average predictability
Alamo Group has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alamo time series from 10th of November 2025 to 25th of December 2025 and 25th of December 2025 to 8th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alamo Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.49 indicates that about 49.0% of current Alamo price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.49 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.54 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 106.73 |
Alamo technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Alamo Group Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Alamo Group volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Alamo Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Alamo Group on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alamo Group based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Alamo Group price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Alamo Group. By analyzing Alamo's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Alamo's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Alamo specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.004185 | 0.005592 | 0.006431 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.48 | 1.37 | 1.23 |
Alamo February 8, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Alamo help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alamo from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Alamo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1261 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2363 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.42 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 667.29 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Variance | 3.04 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0984 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1627 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0789 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1206 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2263 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.89 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.08) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.81 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.02 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.51 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.48) | |||
| Skewness | 0.9164 | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.37 |
Alamo February 8, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alamo stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.03 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.91 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | ||
| Day Median Price | 206.41 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 207.07 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 4.81 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 6.28 |
Complementary Tools for Alamo Stock analysis
When running Alamo's price analysis, check to measure Alamo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alamo is operating at the current time. Most of Alamo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alamo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alamo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alamo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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