Ares Capital Stock Technical Analysis
| ARCC Stock | USD 19.31 0.52 2.77% |
As of the 9th of February, Ares Capital shows the risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Mean Deviation of 0.8623. Ares Capital technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Ares Capital Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Ares, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AresAres Capital's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Ares Capital Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 22.27 | Strong Buy | 13 | Odds |
Most Ares analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Ares stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Ares Capital, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Ares conference calls.
Will Asset Management & Custody Banks sector continue expanding? Could Ares diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ares Capital. If investors know Ares will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Ares Capital data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.25) | Dividend Share 1.92 | Earnings Share 1.86 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.045 |
Understanding Ares Capital requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Ares's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Ares Capital's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Ares Capital's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Ares Capital's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Ares Capital represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Ares Capital's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Ares Capital 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ares Capital's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ares Capital.
| 11/11/2025 |
| 02/09/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Ares Capital on November 11, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ares Capital or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ares Capital over 90 days. Ares Capital is related to or competes with Triplepoint Venture, Sixth Street, Main Street, Capital Southwest, Gladstone Investment, PennantPark Floating, and Prospect Capital. Ares Capital Corporation is a business development company specializing in acquisition, recapitalization, mezzanine debt... More
Ares Capital Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ares Capital's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ares Capital upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.11) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.91 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.00) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.95 |
Ares Capital Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ares Capital's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ares Capital's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ares Capital historical prices to predict the future Ares Capital's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.12) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.06) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ares Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ares Capital February 9, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.8623 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (2,901) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Variance | 1.45 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.11) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.12) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.06) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.91 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.00) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.95 | |||
| Skewness | (0.22) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.44 |
Ares Capital Backtested Returns
Ares Capital secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0303, which signifies that the company had a -0.0303 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Ares Capital exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Ares Capital's risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Mean Deviation of 0.8623 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.8, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Ares Capital's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ares Capital is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Ares Capital has a negative expected return of -0.0365%. Please make sure to confirm Ares Capital's coefficient of variation, treynor ratio, skewness, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and value at risk , to decide if Ares Capital performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.03 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Ares Capital has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ares Capital time series from 11th of November 2025 to 26th of December 2025 and 26th of December 2025 to 9th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ares Capital price movement. The serial correlation of -0.03 indicates that only 3.0% of current Ares Capital price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.03 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.61 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.35 |
Ares Capital technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Ares Capital Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Ares Capital volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Ares Capital Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Ares Capital on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ares Capital based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Ares Capital price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Ares Capital. By analyzing Ares Capital's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Ares Capital's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Ares Capital specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0929 | 0.0834 | 0.019 | 0.018 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.12 | 5.77 | 7.51 | 9.06 |
Ares Capital February 9, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Ares help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ares from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Ares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.8623 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (2,901) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Variance | 1.45 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.11) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.12) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.06) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.91 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.00) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.95 | |||
| Skewness | (0.22) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.44 |
Ares Capital February 9, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ares stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.03 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.84 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | ||
| Day Median Price | 19.10 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 19.17 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.47 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.62 |
Complementary Tools for Ares Stock analysis
When running Ares Capital's price analysis, check to measure Ares Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ares Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Ares Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ares Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ares Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ares Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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