Arrival Stock Technical Analysis
| ARVLF Stock | 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
As of the 4th of February, Arrival shows the Downside Deviation of 73.37, risk adjusted performance of 0.1818, and Mean Deviation of 48.76. Arrival technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Arrival treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and kurtosis to decide if Arrival is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 1.0E-4 per share. As Arrival appears to be a penny stock we also recommend to validate its total risk alpha numbers.
Arrival Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Arrival, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to ArrivalArrival's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Can Auto Manufacturers industry sustain growth momentum? Does Arrival have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arrival. If investors know Arrival will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Arrival demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
The market value of Arrival is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arrival that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arrival's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arrival's true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because Arrival's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arrival's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Arrival's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Arrival represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Arrival's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Arrival 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Arrival's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Arrival.
| 11/06/2025 |
| 02/04/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Arrival on November 6, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Arrival or generate 0.0% return on investment in Arrival over 90 days. Arrival is entity of United States. It is traded as Stock on NASDAQ exchange. More
Arrival Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Arrival's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Arrival upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 73.37 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2329 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 490.0 | |||
| Value At Risk | (66.67) | |||
| Potential Upside | 200.0 |
Arrival Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Arrival's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Arrival's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Arrival historical prices to predict the future Arrival's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1818 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 19.93 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 13.03 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2593 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.23) |
Arrival February 4, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1818 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (1.22) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 48.76 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 25.8 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 73.37 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 427.83 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 81.68 | |||
| Variance | 6671.21 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2329 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 19.93 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 13.03 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2593 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.23) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 490.0 | |||
| Value At Risk | (66.67) | |||
| Potential Upside | 200.0 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5383.33 | |||
| Semi Variance | 665.71 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (180.00) | |||
| Skewness | 2.68 | |||
| Kurtosis | 8.69 |
Arrival Backtested Returns
Arrival is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Arrival secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.21, which signifies that the company had a 0.21 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to break down and interpolate twenty-five different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 17.1% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Arrival Downside Deviation of 73.37, risk adjusted performance of 0.1818, and Mean Deviation of 48.76 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Arrival holds a performance score of 16 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -15.56, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Arrival are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Arrival is expected to outperform it. Use Arrival treynor ratio and the relationship between the downside variance and relative strength index , to analyze future returns on Arrival.
Auto-correlation | 0.11 |
Insignificant predictability
Arrival has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Arrival time series from 6th of November 2025 to 21st of December 2025 and 21st of December 2025 to 4th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Arrival price movement. The serial correlation of 0.11 indicates that less than 11.0% of current Arrival price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.11 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.39 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Arrival technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Arrival Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Arrival volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Arrival Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Arrival on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Arrival based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Arrival price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Arrival. By analyzing Arrival's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Arrival's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Arrival specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2020 | 2021 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | PB Ratio | 3.03 | 3.07 | 2.76 | 1.97 | Capex To Depreciation | 11.18 | 3.61 | 4.15 | 3.94 |
Arrival February 4, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Arrival help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Arrival from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Arrival charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1818 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (1.22) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 48.76 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 25.8 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 73.37 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 427.83 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 81.68 | |||
| Variance | 6671.21 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2329 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 19.93 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 13.03 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2593 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.23) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 490.0 | |||
| Value At Risk | (66.67) | |||
| Potential Upside | 200.0 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5383.33 | |||
| Semi Variance | 665.71 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (180.00) | |||
| Skewness | 2.68 | |||
| Kurtosis | 8.69 |
Arrival February 4, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Arrival stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.00 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 0.00 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 0.00 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.00 |
Complementary Tools for Arrival Stock analysis
When running Arrival's price analysis, check to measure Arrival's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arrival is operating at the current time. Most of Arrival's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arrival's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arrival's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arrival to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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