Avalonbay Communities Stock Technical Analysis
| AVB Stock | USD 177.65 1.46 0.83% |
As of the 18th of February 2026, AvalonBay Communities shows the risk adjusted performance of 0.0119, and Mean Deviation of 0.9884. AvalonBay Communities technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.
AvalonBay Communities Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as AvalonBay, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AvalonBayAvalonBay | Build AI portfolio with AvalonBay Stock |
AvalonBay Communities Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 198.73 | Buy | 24 | Odds |
Most AvalonBay analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand AvalonBay stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of AvalonBay Communities, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to AvalonBay conference calls.
Is Multi-Family Residential REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AvalonBay Communities. If investors know AvalonBay will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive AvalonBay Communities assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.41) | Dividend Share 7 | Earnings Share 7.4 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.03 |
Understanding AvalonBay Communities requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects AvalonBay's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what AvalonBay Communities' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push AvalonBay Communities' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that AvalonBay Communities' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether AvalonBay Communities represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, AvalonBay Communities' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
AvalonBay Communities 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AvalonBay Communities' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AvalonBay Communities.
| 11/20/2025 |
| 02/18/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in AvalonBay Communities on November 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AvalonBay Communities or generate 0.0% return on investment in AvalonBay Communities over 90 days. AvalonBay Communities is related to or competes with Equity Residential, Mid America, Essex Property, Extra Space, SBA Communications, Invitation Homes, and American Homes. As of December 31, 2020, the Company owned or held a direct or indirect ownership interest in 291 apartment communities ... More
AvalonBay Communities Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AvalonBay Communities' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AvalonBay Communities upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.11 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.31) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.29 |
AvalonBay Communities Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AvalonBay Communities' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AvalonBay Communities' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AvalonBay Communities historical prices to predict the future AvalonBay Communities' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0119 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.07) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0048 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AvalonBay Communities' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AvalonBay Communities February 18, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0119 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0148 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9884 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 10184.97 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Variance | 1.8 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.07) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0048 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.11 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.31) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.29 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.04 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.96 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.00) | |||
| Skewness | (0.50) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.21 |
AvalonBay Communities Backtested Returns
At this point, AvalonBay Communities is very steady. AvalonBay Communities secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0225, which signifies that the company had a 0.0225 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for AvalonBay Communities, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm AvalonBay Communities' mean deviation of 0.9884, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0119 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0318%. AvalonBay Communities has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.66, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, AvalonBay Communities' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding AvalonBay Communities is expected to be smaller as well. AvalonBay Communities right now shows a risk of 1.41%. Please confirm AvalonBay Communities sortino ratio, semi variance, and the relationship between the information ratio and value at risk , to decide if AvalonBay Communities will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.01 |
Virtually no predictability
AvalonBay Communities has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AvalonBay Communities time series from 20th of November 2025 to 4th of January 2026 and 4th of January 2026 to 18th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AvalonBay Communities price movement. The serial correlation of 0.01 indicates that just 1.0% of current AvalonBay Communities price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.01 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.42 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 9.9 |
AvalonBay Communities technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
AvalonBay Communities Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of AvalonBay Communities volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About AvalonBay Communities Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of AvalonBay Communities on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of AvalonBay Communities based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on AvalonBay Communities price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding AvalonBay Communities. By analyzing AvalonBay Communities's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of AvalonBay Communities's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to AvalonBay Communities specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0349 | 0.0308 | 0.0383 | 0.0458 | Price To Sales Ratio | 9.56 | 10.72 | 8.4 | 7.36 |
AvalonBay Communities February 18, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of AvalonBay help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AvalonBay from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze AvalonBay charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0119 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0148 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9884 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 10184.97 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Variance | 1.8 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.07) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0048 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.11 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.31) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.29 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.04 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.96 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.00) | |||
| Skewness | (0.50) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.21 |
AvalonBay Communities February 18, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AvalonBay stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 22,794 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.33 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | ||
| Day Median Price | 175.76 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 176.39 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 2.62 |
Complementary Tools for AvalonBay Stock analysis
When running AvalonBay Communities' price analysis, check to measure AvalonBay Communities' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AvalonBay Communities is operating at the current time. Most of AvalonBay Communities' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AvalonBay Communities' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AvalonBay Communities' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AvalonBay Communities to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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