American Axle Manufacturing Stock Technical Analysis
| AXL Stock | USD 8.04 0.07 0.88% |
As of the 28th of January, American Axle shows the mean deviation of 2.39, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1109. American Axle Manufa technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm American Axle Manufa standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and expected short fall to decide if American Axle Manufa is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 8.04 per share. Given that American Axle has jensen alpha of 0.3121, we suggest you to validate American Axle Manufacturing's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
American Axle Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as American, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AmericanAmerican Axle's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.American Axle Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 8.74 | Hold | 8 | Odds |
Most American analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand American stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of American Axle Manufa, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to American conference calls.
Is Automotive Parts & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Axle. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Axle listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | Earnings Share 0.34 | Revenue Per Share | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of American Axle Manufa is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Axle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Axle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Axle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Axle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Axle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Axle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Axle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
American Axle 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to American Axle's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of American Axle.
| 10/30/2025 |
| 01/28/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in American Axle on October 30, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding American Axle Manufacturing or generate 0.0% return on investment in American Axle over 90 days. American Axle is related to or competes with Standard, Douglas Dynamics, SES AI, ECARX Holdings, BJs Restaurants, Cars, and Aeva Technologies. American Axle Manufacturing Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, and manufactures driveli... More
American Axle Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure American Axle's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess American Axle Manufacturing upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.73 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1155 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.56 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.01) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.86 |
American Axle Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for American Axle's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as American Axle's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use American Axle historical prices to predict the future American Axle's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1109 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3121 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.138 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1352 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2394 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Axle's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
American Axle January 28, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1109 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2494 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.39 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.39 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.73 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 712.88 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.2 | |||
| Variance | 10.25 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1155 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3121 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.138 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1352 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2394 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.56 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.01) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.86 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.48 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.71 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.61) | |||
| Skewness | 0.7203 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.13 |
American Axle Manufa Backtested Returns
American Axle appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. American Axle Manufa secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.13, which signifies that the company had a 0.13 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for American Axle Manufacturing, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of American Axle's mean deviation of 2.39, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1109 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, American Axle holds a performance score of 10. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.83, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, American Axle will likely underperform. Please check American Axle's standard deviation, expected short fall, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether American Axle's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.19 |
Very weak predictability
American Axle Manufacturing has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between American Axle time series from 30th of October 2025 to 14th of December 2025 and 14th of December 2025 to 28th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of American Axle Manufa price movement. The serial correlation of 0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current American Axle price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.19 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.14 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.5 |
American Axle technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
American Axle Manufa Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of American Axle Manufa volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About American Axle Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of American Axle Manufacturing on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Axle Manufacturing based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on American Axle Manufa price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding American Axle Manufa. By analyzing American Axle's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of American Axle's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to American Axle specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 7.05 | 7.69 | 8.84 | 8.75 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 32.31 | 30.0 | 27.0 | 20.89 |
American Axle January 28, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of American help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1109 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2494 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.39 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.39 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.73 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 712.88 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.2 | |||
| Variance | 10.25 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1155 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3121 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.138 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1352 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2394 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.56 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.01) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.86 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.48 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.71 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.61) | |||
| Skewness | 0.7203 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.13 |
American Axle January 28, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as American stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 166,889 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.29 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | ||
| Day Median Price | 8.11 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 8.09 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.04) |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in American Axle Manufacturing. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in median. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Automotive Parts & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Axle. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Axle listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | Earnings Share 0.34 | Revenue Per Share | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of American Axle Manufa is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Axle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Axle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Axle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Axle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Axle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Axle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Axle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.