Cae Inc Stock Technical Analysis
| CAE Stock | USD 29.74 0.30 1.00% |
As of the 19th of February, CAE shows the coefficient of variation of 1249.58, and Mean Deviation of 1.52. CAE Inc technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the entity's future prices. Please confirm CAE Inc variance, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha to decide if CAE Inc is priced fairly, providing market reflects its regular price of 29.74 per share. Given that CAE has jensen alpha of 0.1037, we suggest you to validate CAE Inc's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at some future date.
CAE Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as CAE, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to CAECAE's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.CAE Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 31.38 | Buy | 13 | Odds |
Most CAE analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand CAE stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of CAE Inc, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to CAE conference calls.
Will Aerospace & Defense sector continue expanding? Could CAE diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CAE. Projected growth potential of CAE fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every CAE data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.36) | Earnings Share 0.87 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.023 | Return On Assets |
The market value of CAE Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CAE that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CAE's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CAE's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because CAE's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CAE's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between CAE's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding CAE should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, CAE's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
CAE 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to CAE's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of CAE.
| 11/21/2025 |
| 02/19/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in CAE on November 21, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CAE Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in CAE over 90 days. CAE is related to or competes with Leonardo DRS, StandardAero, Moog, Watts Water, Parsons Corp, American Airlines, and U Haul. CAE Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides simulation training and critical operations support solutions worldwi... More
CAE Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure CAE's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CAE Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.92 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0562 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.61 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.67) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.17 |
CAE Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for CAE's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as CAE's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use CAE historical prices to predict the future CAE's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0693 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1037 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.056 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0571 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1252 |
CAE February 19, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0693 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1352 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.79 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.92 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1249.58 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.96 | |||
| Variance | 3.83 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0562 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1037 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.056 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0571 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1252 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.61 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.67) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.17 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.7 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.2 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.58) | |||
| Skewness | 0.0532 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.1747 |
CAE Inc Backtested Returns
CAE appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. CAE Inc secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.13, which signifies that the company had a 0.13 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for CAE Inc, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please makes use of CAE's coefficient of variation of 1249.58, and Mean Deviation of 1.52 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, CAE holds a performance score of 10. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.17, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, CAE will likely underperform. Please check CAE's semi deviation, jensen alpha, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and sortino ratio , to make a quick decision on whether CAE's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.61 |
Very good reverse predictability
CAE Inc has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between CAE time series from 21st of November 2025 to 5th of January 2026 and 5th of January 2026 to 19th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of CAE Inc price movement. The serial correlation of -0.61 indicates that roughly 61.0% of current CAE price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.61 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.52 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.01 |
CAE technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
CAE Inc Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was ten with a total number of output elements of fifty-one. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of CAE Inc volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About CAE Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of CAE Inc on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of CAE Inc based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on CAE Inc price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding CAE Inc. By analyzing CAE's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of CAE's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to CAE specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.027 | 0.0157 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.16 | 1.42 |
CAE February 19, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of CAE help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CAE from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze CAE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0693 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1352 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.79 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.92 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1249.58 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.96 | |||
| Variance | 3.83 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0562 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1037 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.056 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0571 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1252 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.61 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.67) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.17 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.7 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.2 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.58) | |||
| Skewness | 0.0532 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.1747 |
CAE February 19, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as CAE stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (Huge) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | ||
| Day Median Price | 29.74 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 29.74 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.15) |
Complementary Tools for CAE Stock analysis
When running CAE's price analysis, check to measure CAE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CAE is operating at the current time. Most of CAE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CAE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CAE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CAE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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