Conocophillips Stock Technical Analysis
| COP Stock | USD 107.62 2.64 2.51% |
As of the 6th of February, ConocoPhillips shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1155, downside deviation of 1.71, and Mean Deviation of 1.61. ConocoPhillips technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.
ConocoPhillips Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as ConocoPhillips, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to ConocoPhillipsConocoPhillips | Build AI portfolio with ConocoPhillips Stock |
ConocoPhillips Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 113.32 | Strong Buy | 30 | Odds |
Most ConocoPhillips analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand ConocoPhillips stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of ConocoPhillips, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to ConocoPhillips conference calls.
Can Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry sustain growth momentum? Does ConocoPhillips have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ConocoPhillips. Projected growth potential of ConocoPhillips fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating ConocoPhillips demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.22) | Earnings Share 6.91 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.14 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate ConocoPhillips using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating ConocoPhillips' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause ConocoPhillips' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between ConocoPhillips' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding ConocoPhillips should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, ConocoPhillips' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
ConocoPhillips 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ConocoPhillips' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ConocoPhillips.
| 11/08/2025 |
| 02/06/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in ConocoPhillips on November 8, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ConocoPhillips or generate 0.0% return on investment in ConocoPhillips over 90 days. ConocoPhillips is related to or competes with Enbridge, Canadian Natural, TotalEnergies, EOG Resources, Petroleo Brasileiro, Enterprise Products, and Petróleo Brasileiro. ConocoPhillips explores for, produces, transports, and markets crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, liquefied natural gas , ... More
ConocoPhillips Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ConocoPhillips' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ConocoPhillips upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1225 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.88 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.72) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.61 |
ConocoPhillips Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ConocoPhillips' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ConocoPhillips' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ConocoPhillips historical prices to predict the future ConocoPhillips' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1155 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2568 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1842 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1413 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5054 |
ConocoPhillips February 6, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1155 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.5154 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.61 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 687.56 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.97 | |||
| Variance | 3.86 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1225 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2568 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1842 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1413 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5054 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.88 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.72) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.61 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.91 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.36 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.89) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2216 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.36) |
ConocoPhillips Backtested Returns
ConocoPhillips appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. ConocoPhillips secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.16, which signifies that the company had a 0.16 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for ConocoPhillips, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of ConocoPhillips' Downside Deviation of 1.71, mean deviation of 1.61, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1155 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, ConocoPhillips holds a performance score of 12. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.55, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, ConocoPhillips' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding ConocoPhillips is expected to be smaller as well. Please check ConocoPhillips' semi variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether ConocoPhillips' price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.49 |
Average predictability
ConocoPhillips has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ConocoPhillips time series from 8th of November 2025 to 23rd of December 2025 and 23rd of December 2025 to 6th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ConocoPhillips price movement. The serial correlation of 0.49 indicates that about 49.0% of current ConocoPhillips price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.49 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.53 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 18.81 |
ConocoPhillips technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
ConocoPhillips Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was fifty with a total number of output elements of eleven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of ConocoPhillips volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About ConocoPhillips Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of ConocoPhillips on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of ConocoPhillips based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on ConocoPhillips price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding ConocoPhillips. By analyzing ConocoPhillips's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of ConocoPhillips's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to ConocoPhillips specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.04 | 0.0312 | 0.0359 | 0.0435 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.49 | 2.14 | 1.93 | 2.02 |
ConocoPhillips February 6, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of ConocoPhillips help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ConocoPhillips from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze ConocoPhillips charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1155 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.5154 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.61 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 687.56 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.97 | |||
| Variance | 3.86 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1225 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2568 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1842 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1413 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5054 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.88 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.72) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.61 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.91 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.36 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.89) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2216 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.36) |
ConocoPhillips February 6, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as ConocoPhillips stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 186,771 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.88 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | ||
| Day Median Price | 106.62 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 106.95 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 2.33 |
Additional Tools for ConocoPhillips Stock Analysis
When running ConocoPhillips' price analysis, check to measure ConocoPhillips' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ConocoPhillips is operating at the current time. Most of ConocoPhillips' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ConocoPhillips' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ConocoPhillips' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ConocoPhillips to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.