Cosan Sa Adr Stock Technical Analysis
| CSAN Stock | USD 4.45 0.15 3.26% |
As of the 5th of February, Cosan SA shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0199, mean deviation of 2.48, and Downside Deviation of 3.39. Cosan SA ADR technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Cosan SA Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Cosan, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to CosanCosan SA's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Cosan SA Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 5.39 | Buy | 4 | Odds |
Most Cosan analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Cosan stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Cosan SA ADR, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Cosan conference calls.
Will Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sector continue expanding? Could Cosan diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cosan SA. Projected growth potential of Cosan fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Cosan SA data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.57) | Earnings Share (5.47) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Cosan SA ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cosan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cosan SA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cosan SA's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Cosan SA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cosan SA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Cosan SA's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Cosan SA should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Cosan SA's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Cosan SA 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Cosan SA's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Cosan SA.
| 11/07/2025 |
| 02/05/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Cosan SA on November 7, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Cosan SA ADR or generate 0.0% return on investment in Cosan SA over 90 days. Cosan SA is related to or competes with Delek Energy, Par Pacific, Torm PLC, Northern Oil, Teekay Tankers, DHT Holdings, and SolarEdge Technologies. Cosan S.A., through its subsidiaries, primarily engages in the fuel distribution business in Brazil, Europe, Latin Ameri... More
Cosan SA Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Cosan SA's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Cosan SA ADR upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 3.39 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 18.3 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.29) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.52 |
Cosan SA Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Cosan SA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Cosan SA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Cosan SA historical prices to predict the future Cosan SA's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0199 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.20) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0382 |
Cosan SA February 5, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0199 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0482 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.48 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.23 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.39 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 6067.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.34 | |||
| Variance | 11.17 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.20) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0382 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 18.3 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.29) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.52 | |||
| Downside Variance | 11.52 | |||
| Semi Variance | 10.42 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.62) | |||
| Skewness | (0) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.8847 |
Cosan SA ADR Backtested Returns
Cosan SA ADR secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0168, which signifies that the company had a -0.0168 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Cosan SA ADR exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Cosan SA's Downside Deviation of 3.39, risk adjusted performance of 0.0199, and Mean Deviation of 2.48 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.18, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Cosan SA will likely underperform. At this point, Cosan SA ADR has a negative expected return of -0.0554%. Please make sure to confirm Cosan SA's semi variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to decide if Cosan SA ADR performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.62 |
Very good reverse predictability
Cosan SA ADR has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Cosan SA time series from 7th of November 2025 to 22nd of December 2025 and 22nd of December 2025 to 5th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Cosan SA ADR price movement. The serial correlation of -0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current Cosan SA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.62 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.02 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.08 |
Cosan SA technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Cosan SA ADR Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was fifty with a total number of output elements of eleven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Cosan SA ADR volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Cosan SA Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Cosan SA ADR on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cosan SA ADR based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Cosan SA ADR price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Cosan SA ADR. By analyzing Cosan SA's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Cosan SA's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Cosan SA specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.072 | 0.23 | 0.2 | 0.21 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.91 | 0.35 | 0.4 | 0.38 |
Cosan SA February 5, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Cosan help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cosan from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Cosan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0199 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0482 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.48 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.23 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.39 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 6067.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.34 | |||
| Variance | 11.17 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.20) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0382 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 18.3 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.29) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.52 | |||
| Downside Variance | 11.52 | |||
| Semi Variance | 10.42 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.62) | |||
| Skewness | (0) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.8847 |
Cosan SA February 5, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Cosan stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 70,610 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.71) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | ||
| Day Median Price | 4.49 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 4.48 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.12) |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Cosan SA ADR. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Will Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sector continue expanding? Could Cosan diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cosan SA. Projected growth potential of Cosan fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Cosan SA data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.57) | Earnings Share (5.47) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Cosan SA ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cosan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cosan SA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cosan SA's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Cosan SA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cosan SA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Cosan SA's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Cosan SA should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Cosan SA's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.