Capital Southwest Stock Technical Analysis

CSWC Stock  USD 22.91  0.31  1.34%   
As of the 5th of February, Capital Southwest shows the Mean Deviation of 0.8425, risk adjusted performance of 0.1663, and Downside Deviation of 1.13. Capital Southwest technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Capital Southwest Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Capital, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to CapitalCapital Southwest's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.

Capital Southwest Analyst Consensus

Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
23.92Buy7Odds
Capital Southwest current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Capital analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Capital stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Capital Southwest, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Capital conference calls.
Capital Analyst Advice Details
Will Asset Management & Custody Banks sector continue expanding? Could Capital diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Capital Southwest. Projected growth potential of Capital fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Capital Southwest data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.605
Dividend Share
2.32
Earnings Share
1.81
Revenue Per Share
4.215
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.182
Investors evaluate Capital Southwest using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Capital Southwest's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Capital Southwest's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Capital Southwest's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Capital Southwest should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Capital Southwest's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.

Capital Southwest 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Capital Southwest's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Capital Southwest.
0.00
11/07/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/05/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Capital Southwest on November 7, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Capital Southwest or generate 0.0% return on investment in Capital Southwest over 90 days. Capital Southwest is related to or competes with Source Capital, GigCapital7 Corp, Saratoga Investment, PennantPark Investment, Diamond Hill, Gladstone Capital, and Stellus Capital. Capital Southwest Corporation is a business development company specializing in credit and private equity and venture ca... More

Capital Southwest Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Capital Southwest's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Capital Southwest upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Capital Southwest Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Capital Southwest's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Capital Southwest's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Capital Southwest historical prices to predict the future Capital Southwest's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Capital Southwest's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.1823.2924.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.9025.2426.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.5222.6323.75
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
21.7623.9226.55
Details

Capital Southwest February 5, 2026 Technical Indicators

Capital Southwest Backtested Returns

Capital Southwest appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Capital Southwest secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.22, which signifies that the company had a 0.22 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for Capital Southwest, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Capital Southwest's Downside Deviation of 1.13, risk adjusted performance of 0.1663, and Mean Deviation of 0.8425 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Capital Southwest holds a performance score of 17. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.68, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Capital Southwest's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Capital Southwest is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Capital Southwest's potential upside, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Capital Southwest's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.81  

Very good predictability

Capital Southwest has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Capital Southwest time series from 7th of November 2025 to 22nd of December 2025 and 22nd of December 2025 to 5th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Capital Southwest price movement. The serial correlation of 0.81 indicates that around 81.0% of current Capital Southwest price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.81
Spearman Rank Test0.72
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.49
Capital Southwest technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Capital Southwest technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Capital Southwest trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Capital Southwest Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was fifty with a total number of output elements of eleven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Capital Southwest volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About Capital Southwest Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Capital Southwest on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Capital Southwest based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Capital Southwest price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Capital Southwest. By analyzing Capital Southwest's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Capital Southwest's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Capital Southwest specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding72.4672.0264.8137.18
PTB Ratio1.331.21.081.13

Capital Southwest February 5, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Capital help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Capital from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Capital charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Capital Southwest February 5, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Capital stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for Capital Stock analysis

When running Capital Southwest's price analysis, check to measure Capital Southwest's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capital Southwest is operating at the current time. Most of Capital Southwest's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capital Southwest's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capital Southwest's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capital Southwest to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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