Dollar Tree Stock Technical Analysis
| DLTR Stock | USD 117.59 0.28 0.24% |
As of the 1st of February, Dollar Tree shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 1013.08, downside deviation of 2.14, and Mean Deviation of 1.87. Dollar Tree technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Dollar Tree downside deviation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and expected short fall to decide if Dollar Tree is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 117.59 per share. Given that Dollar Tree has jensen alpha of 0.1689, we urge you to verify Dollar Tree's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Dollar Tree Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Dollar, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to DollarDollar Tree's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Dollar Tree Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 122.26 | Buy | 27 | Odds |
Most Dollar analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Dollar stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Dollar Tree, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Dollar conference calls.
Can Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry sustain growth momentum? Does Dollar have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dollar Tree. Projected growth potential of Dollar fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Dollar Tree demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.106 | Earnings Share 5.29 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.094 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Dollar Tree is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dollar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dollar Tree's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dollar Tree's true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because Dollar Tree's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dollar Tree's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Dollar Tree's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Dollar Tree should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Dollar Tree's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Dollar Tree 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dollar Tree's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dollar Tree.
| 11/03/2025 |
| 02/01/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Dollar Tree on November 3, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dollar Tree or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dollar Tree over 90 days. Dollar Tree is related to or competes with Dollar General, Church Dwight, Constellation Brands, BJs Wholesale, Tyson Foods, Bunge, and McCormick Company. The Dollar Tree segment offers merchandise at the fixed price of 1.25 More
Dollar Tree Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dollar Tree's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dollar Tree upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.14 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0798 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.3 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.85) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.05 |
Dollar Tree Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dollar Tree's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dollar Tree's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dollar Tree historical prices to predict the future Dollar Tree's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0783 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1689 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1098 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0888 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1409 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dollar Tree's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Dollar Tree February 1, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0783 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1509 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.87 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.89 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.14 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1013.08 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.38 | |||
| Variance | 5.65 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0798 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1689 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1098 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0888 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1409 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.3 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.85) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.05 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.56 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.56 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.03) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2971 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.37) |
Dollar Tree Backtested Returns
Dollar Tree appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Dollar Tree secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which denotes the company had a 0.11 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Dollar Tree, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Dollar Tree's Coefficient Of Variation of 1013.08, downside deviation of 2.14, and Mean Deviation of 1.87 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Dollar Tree holds a performance score of 8. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.59, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Dollar Tree will likely underperform. Please check Dollar Tree's treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the expected short fall and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Dollar Tree's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.46 |
Modest reverse predictability
Dollar Tree has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dollar Tree time series from 3rd of November 2025 to 18th of December 2025 and 18th of December 2025 to 1st of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dollar Tree price movement. The serial correlation of -0.46 indicates that about 46.0% of current Dollar Tree price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.46 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.34 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 48.37 |
Dollar Tree technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Dollar Tree Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Dollar Tree volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Dollar Tree Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Dollar Tree on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Dollar Tree based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Dollar Tree price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Dollar Tree. By analyzing Dollar Tree's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Dollar Tree's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Dollar Tree specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 3.96E-4 | 3.52E-4 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.19 | 1.46 |
Dollar Tree February 1, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Dollar help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dollar from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Dollar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0783 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1509 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.87 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.89 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.14 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1013.08 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.38 | |||
| Variance | 5.65 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0798 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1689 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1098 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0888 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1409 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.3 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.85) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.05 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.56 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.56 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.03) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2971 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.37) |
Dollar Tree February 1, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Dollar stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.02 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.14 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 117.00 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 117.19 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.74 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.95 |
Additional Tools for Dollar Stock Analysis
When running Dollar Tree's price analysis, check to measure Dollar Tree's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dollar Tree is operating at the current time. Most of Dollar Tree's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dollar Tree's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dollar Tree's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dollar Tree to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.