Evolution Petroleum Stock Technical Analysis
| EPM Stock | USD 4.52 0.11 2.49% |
As of the 18th of February 2026, Evolution Petroleum shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 16711.0, downside deviation of 2.63, and Mean Deviation of 1.97. Evolution Petroleum technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Evolution Petroleum coefficient of variation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and semi variance to decide if Evolution Petroleum is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 4.52 per share. Given that Evolution Petroleum has jensen alpha of (0.02), we urge you to verify Evolution Petroleum's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Evolution Petroleum Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Evolution, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to EvolutionEvolution | Build AI portfolio with Evolution Stock |
Evolution Petroleum Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 5.14 | Buy | 3 | Odds |
Most Evolution analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Evolution stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Evolution Petroleum, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Evolution conference calls.
Will Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sector continue expanding? Could Evolution diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Evolution Petroleum. Projected growth potential of Evolution fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Evolution Petroleum data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.67) | Dividend Share 0.48 | Earnings Share 0.08 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.02 |
The market value of Evolution Petroleum is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Evolution that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Evolution Petroleum's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Evolution Petroleum's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Evolution Petroleum's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Evolution Petroleum's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Evolution Petroleum's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Evolution Petroleum should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Evolution Petroleum's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Evolution Petroleum 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Evolution Petroleum's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Evolution Petroleum.
| 11/20/2025 |
| 02/18/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Evolution Petroleum on November 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Evolution Petroleum or generate 0.0% return on investment in Evolution Petroleum over 90 days. Evolution Petroleum is related to or competes with Kolibri Global, Infinity Natural, AleAnna, New Era, Gran Tierra, Dmc Global, and Amplify Energy. Evolution Petroleum Corporation, an energy company, engages in the development, production, ownership, and exploitation ... More
Evolution Petroleum Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Evolution Petroleum's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Evolution Petroleum upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.63 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.47 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.48) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.72 |
Evolution Petroleum Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Evolution Petroleum's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Evolution Petroleum's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Evolution Petroleum historical prices to predict the future Evolution Petroleum's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0117 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.13) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0099 |
Evolution Petroleum February 18, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0117 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0199 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.97 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.47 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.63 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 16711.0 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.57 | |||
| Variance | 6.6 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.13) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0099 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.47 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.48) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.72 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.91 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.08 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.12) | |||
| Skewness | 0.0877 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.08) |
Evolution Petroleum Backtested Returns
Evolution Petroleum appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Evolution Petroleum secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.15, which denotes the company had a 0.15 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Evolution Petroleum, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Evolution Petroleum's Mean Deviation of 1.97, downside deviation of 2.63, and Coefficient Of Variation of 16711.0 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Evolution Petroleum holds a performance score of 12. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.54, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Evolution Petroleum's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Evolution Petroleum is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Evolution Petroleum's semi variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Evolution Petroleum's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.51 |
Good reverse predictability
Evolution Petroleum has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Evolution Petroleum time series from 20th of November 2025 to 4th of January 2026 and 4th of January 2026 to 18th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Evolution Petroleum price movement. The serial correlation of -0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current Evolution Petroleum price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.51 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.58 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.09 |
Evolution Petroleum technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Evolution Petroleum Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was ten with a total number of output elements of fifty-one. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Evolution Petroleum volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Evolution Petroleum Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Evolution Petroleum on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Evolution Petroleum based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Evolution Petroleum price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Evolution Petroleum. By analyzing Evolution Petroleum's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Evolution Petroleum's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Evolution Petroleum specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0917 | 0.1 | 0.0944 | 0.0991 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.04 | 1.82 | 1.84 | 1.75 |
Evolution Petroleum February 18, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Evolution help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Evolution from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Evolution charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0117 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0199 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.97 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.47 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.63 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 16711.0 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.57 | |||
| Variance | 6.6 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.13) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0099 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.47 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.48) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.72 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.91 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.08 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.12) | |||
| Skewness | 0.0877 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.08) |
Evolution Petroleum February 18, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Evolution stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 14,062 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.79 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | ||
| Day Median Price | 4.48 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 4.49 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.09 |
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Evolution Petroleum. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment. To learn how to invest in Evolution Stock, please use our How to Invest in Evolution Petroleum guide.You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Will Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sector continue expanding? Could Evolution diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Evolution Petroleum. Projected growth potential of Evolution fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Evolution Petroleum data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.67) | Dividend Share 0.48 | Earnings Share 0.08 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.02 |
The market value of Evolution Petroleum is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Evolution that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Evolution Petroleum's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Evolution Petroleum's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Evolution Petroleum's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Evolution Petroleum's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Evolution Petroleum's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Evolution Petroleum should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Evolution Petroleum's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.