Exelon Stock Technical Analysis
| EXC Stock | USD 48.50 0.02 0.04% |
As of the 16th of February 2026, Exelon shows the Mean Deviation of 0.9808, coefficient of variation of 1280.24, and Downside Deviation of 1.16. Exelon technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices.
Exelon Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Exelon, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to ExelonExelon's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Exelon Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 49.31 | Buy | 18 | Odds |
Most Exelon analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Exelon stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Exelon, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Exelon conference calls.
Will Electric Utilities sector continue expanding? Could Exelon diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Exelon. Projected growth potential of Exelon fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Exelon data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.09) | Dividend Share 1.6 | Earnings Share 2.73 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of Exelon is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Exelon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Exelon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Exelon's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Exelon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Exelon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Exelon's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Exelon should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Exelon's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Exelon 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Exelon's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Exelon.
| 11/18/2025 |
| 02/16/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Exelon on November 18, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Exelon or generate 0.0% return on investment in Exelon over 90 days. Exelon is related to or competes with Duke Energy, Dominion Energy, Southern, Consolidated Edison, Entergy, American Electric, and PPL. Exelon Corporation, a utility services holding company, engages in the energy generation, delivery, and marketing busine... More
Exelon Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Exelon's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Exelon upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.16 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0268 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.76 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.77) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.52 |
Exelon Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Exelon's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Exelon's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Exelon historical prices to predict the future Exelon's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0671 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1116 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0316 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.38) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Exelon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Exelon February 16, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0671 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.37) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9808 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.16 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1280.24 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Variance | 1.86 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0268 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1116 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0316 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.38) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.76 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.77) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.52 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.34 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.14 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.06) | |||
| Skewness | 1.7 | |||
| Kurtosis | 8.81 |
Exelon Backtested Returns
At this point, Exelon is very steady. Exelon secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0591, which denotes the company had a 0.0591 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Exelon, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Exelon's Coefficient Of Variation of 1280.24, mean deviation of 0.9808, and Downside Deviation of 1.16 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0813%. Exelon has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.25, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Exelon are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Exelon is likely to outperform the market. Exelon right now shows a risk of 1.38%. Please confirm Exelon downside variance, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to decide if Exelon will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.48 |
Modest reverse predictability
Exelon has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Exelon time series from 18th of November 2025 to 2nd of January 2026 and 2nd of January 2026 to 16th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Exelon price movement. The serial correlation of -0.48 indicates that about 48.0% of current Exelon price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.48 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.25 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.8 |
Exelon technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Exelon Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Exelon volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Exelon Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Exelon on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Exelon based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Exelon price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Exelon. By analyzing Exelon's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Exelon's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Exelon specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0401 | 0.0404 | 0.0367 | 0.0671 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.65 | 1.64 | 1.82 | 0.91 |
Exelon February 16, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Exelon help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Exelon from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Exelon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0671 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.37) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9808 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.16 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1280.24 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Variance | 1.86 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0268 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1116 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0316 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.38) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.76 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.77) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.52 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.34 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.14 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.06) | |||
| Skewness | 1.7 | |||
| Kurtosis | 8.81 |
Exelon February 16, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Exelon stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.03 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.02 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 48.06 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 48.21 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.45 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.32 |
Complementary Tools for Exelon Stock analysis
When running Exelon's price analysis, check to measure Exelon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Exelon is operating at the current time. Most of Exelon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Exelon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Exelon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Exelon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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