Exco Resources Stock Technical Analysis
| EXCE Stock | USD 20.50 1.37 7.16% |
As of the 2nd of February, EXCO Resources owns the Coefficient Of Variation of 552.85, downside deviation of 4.89, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (1.67). EXCO Resources technical analysis allows you to utilize past data patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm EXCO Resources downside deviation, treynor ratio, expected short fall, as well as the relationship between the variance and potential upside to decide if EXCO Resources is priced correctly, providing market reflects its prevailing price of 20.5 per share. Given that EXCO Resources has jensen alpha of 0.5109, we urge you to verify EXCO Resources's latest market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself in the future.
EXCO Resources Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as EXCO, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to EXCOEXCO |
EXCO Resources 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to EXCO Resources' pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of EXCO Resources.
| 11/04/2025 |
| 02/02/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in EXCO Resources on November 4, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding EXCO Resources or generate 0.0% return on investment in EXCO Resources over 90 days. EXCO Resources is related to or competes with John Wood, Coelacanth Energy, Horizon Oil, Empire Energy, Frontera Energy, Unit, and Saturn Oil. EXCO Resources, Inc., an independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, exploitation,... More
EXCO Resources Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure EXCO Resources' pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess EXCO Resources upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 4.89 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.165 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 21.83 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.35) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.33 |
EXCO Resources Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for EXCO Resources' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as EXCO Resources' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use EXCO Resources historical prices to predict the future EXCO Resources' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1383 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5109 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3641 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0951 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.68) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of EXCO Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
EXCO Resources February 2, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1383 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (1.67) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.89 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 552.85 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.82 | |||
| Variance | 7.96 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.165 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5109 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3641 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0951 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.68) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 21.83 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.35) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.33 | |||
| Downside Variance | 23.95 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.65 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.06) | |||
| Skewness | 0.0932 | |||
| Kurtosis | 6.68 |
EXCO Resources Backtested Returns
EXCO Resources appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. EXCO Resources retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.22, which denotes the company had a 0.22 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for EXCO Resources, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize EXCO Resources' Coefficient Of Variation of 552.85, downside deviation of 4.89, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (1.67) to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, EXCO Resources holds a performance score of 17. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.3, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning EXCO Resources are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, EXCO Resources is likely to outperform the market. Please check EXCO Resources' treynor ratio, expected short fall, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether EXCO Resources' current price history will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.76 |
Good predictability
EXCO Resources has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between EXCO Resources time series from 4th of November 2025 to 19th of December 2025 and 19th of December 2025 to 2nd of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of EXCO Resources price movement. The serial correlation of 0.76 indicates that around 76.0% of current EXCO Resources price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.76 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.81 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.94 |
EXCO Resources technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
EXCO Resources Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of EXCO Resources volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About EXCO Resources Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of EXCO Resources on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of EXCO Resources based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on EXCO Resources price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding EXCO Resources. By analyzing EXCO Resources's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of EXCO Resources's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to EXCO Resources specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
EXCO Resources February 2, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of EXCO help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for EXCO from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze EXCO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1383 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (1.67) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.89 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 552.85 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.82 | |||
| Variance | 7.96 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.165 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5109 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3641 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0951 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.68) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 21.83 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.35) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.33 | |||
| Downside Variance | 23.95 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.65 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.06) | |||
| Skewness | 0.0932 | |||
| Kurtosis | 6.68 |
EXCO Resources February 2, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as EXCO stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | Huge | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.07 | ||
| Day Median Price | 20.50 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 20.50 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.69 |
Complementary Tools for EXCO Pink Sheet analysis
When running EXCO Resources' price analysis, check to measure EXCO Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EXCO Resources is operating at the current time. Most of EXCO Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EXCO Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EXCO Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EXCO Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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