First Community Financial Stock Technical Analysis
| FMFP Stock | USD 14.58 0.58 4.14% |
As of the 27th of January, First Community shows the Standard Deviation of 1.85, variance of 3.43, and Mean Deviation of 0.8876. First Community Financial technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices.
First Community Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as First, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FirstFirst |
First Community 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Community's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Community.
| 10/29/2025 |
| 01/27/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in First Community on October 29, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Community Financial or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Community over 90 days. First Community is related to or competes with Victory Bancorp, Citizens Holding, Woodlands Financial, HCB Financial, Andover Bancorp, MF Bancorp, and Exchange Bankshares. First Community Financial Corporation operates as a bank holding company for Pennian Bank that provides various banking ... More
First Community Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Community's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Community Financial upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | 0.0752 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.44 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.11) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.18 |
First Community Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Community's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Community's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Community historical prices to predict the future First Community's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0933 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2455 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0311 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.42) |
First Community January 27, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0933 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.41) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.8876 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 841.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.85 | |||
| Variance | 3.43 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0752 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2455 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0311 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.42) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.44 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.11) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.18 | |||
| Skewness | 0.4795 | |||
| Kurtosis | 5.79 |
First Community Financial Backtested Returns
First Community appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. First Community Financial secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.1, which denotes the company had a 0.1 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-four technical indicators for First Community Financial, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize First Community's Mean Deviation of 0.8876, standard deviation of 1.85, and Variance of 3.43 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, First Community holds a performance score of 8. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.5, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning First Community are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, First Community is likely to outperform the market. Please check First Community's treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to make a quick decision on whether First Community's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.11 |
Insignificant predictability
First Community Financial has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Community time series from 29th of October 2025 to 13th of December 2025 and 13th of December 2025 to 27th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Community Financial price movement. The serial correlation of 0.11 indicates that less than 11.0% of current First Community price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.11 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.5 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.11 |
First Community technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
First Community Financial Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of First Community Financial volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About First Community Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of First Community Financial on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Community Financial based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on First Community Financial price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding First Community Financial. By analyzing First Community's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of First Community's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to First Community specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
First Community January 27, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of First help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0933 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.41) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.8876 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 841.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.85 | |||
| Variance | 3.43 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0752 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2455 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0311 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.42) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.44 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.11) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.18 | |||
| Skewness | 0.4795 | |||
| Kurtosis | 5.79 |
First Community January 27, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.08 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.47 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | ||
| Day Median Price | 13.97 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 14.17 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.91 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.23 |
Additional Tools for First Pink Sheet Analysis
When running First Community's price analysis, check to measure First Community's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Community is operating at the current time. Most of First Community's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Community's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Community's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Community to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.