First Trustconfluence Small Fund Technical Analysis
| FOVCX Fund | USD 13.50 0.67 0.00% |
As of the 24th of January, First Trust/confluence shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 712.46, mean deviation of 1.38, and Downside Deviation of 0.9305. First Trust/confluence technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the entity's future prices.
First Trust/confluence Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as First, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FirstFirst |
First Trust/confluence 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Trust/confluence's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Trust/confluence.
| 10/26/2025 |
| 01/24/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in First Trust/confluence on October 26, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Trustconfluence Small or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Trust/confluence over 90 days. First Trust/confluence is related to or competes with Moderately Aggressive, Strategic Allocation:, Tiaa Cref, Mainstay Moderate, Hartford Moderate, Great-west Moderately, and Saat Moderate. The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing, under normal market conditions, at least 80 percent of ... More
First Trust/confluence Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Trust/confluence's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Trustconfluence Small upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.9305 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1193 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 29.41 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.55) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.48 |
First Trust/confluence Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Trust/confluence's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Trust/confluence's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Trust/confluence historical prices to predict the future First Trust/confluence's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1108 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4402 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1649 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.4772 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.485 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Trust/confluence's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First Trust/confluence January 24, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1108 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.495 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.2916 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.9305 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 712.46 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.72 | |||
| Variance | 13.85 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1193 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4402 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1649 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.4772 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.485 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 29.41 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.55) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.48 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.8658 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.085 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.00) | |||
| Skewness | 6.81 | |||
| Kurtosis | 50.5 |
First Trust/confluence Backtested Returns
First Trust/confluence appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. First Trust/confluence secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.14, which denotes the fund had a 0.14 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By reviewing First Trust/confluence's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.52% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize First Trust/confluence's Coefficient Of Variation of 712.46, downside deviation of 0.9305, and Mean Deviation of 1.38 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.06, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. First Trust/confluence returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Trust/confluence is expected to follow.
Auto-correlation | 0.39 |
Below average predictability
First Trustconfluence Small has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Trust/confluence time series from 26th of October 2025 to 10th of December 2025 and 10th of December 2025 to 24th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Trust/confluence price movement. The serial correlation of 0.39 indicates that just about 39.0% of current First Trust/confluence price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.39 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.45 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 3.69 |
First Trust/confluence technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
First Trust/confluence Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was thirty-six with a total number of output elements of twenty-five. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of First Trust/confluence volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About First Trust/confluence Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of First Trustconfluence Small on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Trustconfluence Small based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this mutual fund, focuses on First Trust/confluence price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding First Trust/confluence. By analyzing First Trust/confluence's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of First Trust/confluence's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to First Trust/confluence specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
First Trust/confluence January 24, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of First help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1108 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.495 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.2916 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.9305 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 712.46 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.72 | |||
| Variance | 13.85 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1193 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4402 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1649 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.4772 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.485 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 29.41 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.55) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.48 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.8658 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.085 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.00) | |||
| Skewness | 6.81 | |||
| Kurtosis | 50.5 |
First Trust/confluence January 24, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (Huge) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | ||
| Day Median Price | 17.85 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 17.85 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.16) |
Other Information on Investing in First Mutual Fund
First Trust/confluence financial ratios help investors to determine whether First Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First Trust/confluence security.
| Sync Your Broker Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors. | |
| CEOs Directory Screen CEOs from public companies around the world | |
| Insider Screener Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance | |
| Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators |