Mid Penn Bancorp Stock Technical Analysis
| MPB Stock | USD 33.43 0.54 1.59% |
As of the 18th of February 2026, Mid Penn secures the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1194, downside deviation of 1.48, and Mean Deviation of 1.23. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Mid Penn Bancorp, as well as the relationship between them.
Mid Penn Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Mid, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to MidMid Penn's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Mid Penn Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 36.5 | Strong Buy | 3 | Odds |
Most Mid analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Mid stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Mid Penn Bancorp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Mid conference calls.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mid Penn. Expected growth trajectory for Mid significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Mid Penn assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.15 | Dividend Share 0.82 | Earnings Share 2.53 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.335 |
The market value of Mid Penn Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mid that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mid Penn's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mid Penn's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mid Penn's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mid Penn's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Mid Penn's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Mid Penn represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Mid Penn's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Mid Penn 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mid Penn's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mid Penn.
| 11/20/2025 |
| 02/18/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Mid Penn on November 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mid Penn Bancorp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mid Penn over 90 days. Mid Penn is related to or competes with Orrstown Financial, Capital City, MetroCity Bankshares, Camden National, Heritage Commerce, NB Bancorp, and Metropolitan Bank. Mid Penn Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Mid Penn Bank that provides commercial banking services ... More
Mid Penn Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mid Penn's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mid Penn Bancorp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1124 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.41 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.91) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.3 |
Mid Penn Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mid Penn's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mid Penn's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mid Penn historical prices to predict the future Mid Penn's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1194 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1956 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1421 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1292 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2607 |
Mid Penn February 18, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1194 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2707 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 696.61 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Variance | 2.89 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1124 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1956 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1421 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1292 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2607 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.41 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.91) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.3 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.19 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.64 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.46) | |||
| Skewness | 0.1508 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.84 |
Mid Penn Bancorp Backtested Returns
Mid Penn appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Mid Penn Bancorp has Sharpe Ratio of 0.17, which conveys that the firm had a 0.17 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Mid Penn, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Mid Penn's Mean Deviation of 1.23, risk adjusted performance of 0.1194, and Downside Deviation of 1.48 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Mid Penn holds a performance score of 13. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.9, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Mid Penn returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Mid Penn is expected to follow. Please check Mid Penn's downside variance, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Mid Penn's current price movements will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.59 |
Modest predictability
Mid Penn Bancorp has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mid Penn time series from 20th of November 2025 to 4th of January 2026 and 4th of January 2026 to 18th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mid Penn Bancorp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.59 indicates that roughly 59.0% of current Mid Penn price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.59 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.56 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.66 |
Mid Penn technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Mid Penn Bancorp Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was ten with a total number of output elements of fifty-one. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Mid Penn Bancorp volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Mid Penn Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Mid Penn Bancorp on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mid Penn Bancorp based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Mid Penn Bancorp price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Mid Penn Bancorp. By analyzing Mid Penn's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Mid Penn's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Mid Penn specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0328 | 0.0281 | 0.0264 | 0.0392 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.56 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 2.79 |
Mid Penn February 18, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Mid help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mid from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Mid charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1194 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2707 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 696.61 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Variance | 2.89 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1124 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1956 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1421 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1292 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2607 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.41 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.91) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.3 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.19 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.64 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.46) | |||
| Skewness | 0.1508 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.84 |
Mid Penn February 18, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Mid stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 4,352 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.38) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | ||
| Day Median Price | 33.97 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 33.79 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.80) |
Complementary Tools for Mid Stock analysis
When running Mid Penn's price analysis, check to measure Mid Penn's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mid Penn is operating at the current time. Most of Mid Penn's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mid Penn's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mid Penn's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mid Penn to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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