Merck Company Stock Technical Analysis
| MRK Stock | USD 121.57 0.16 0.13% |
As of the 18th of February 2026, Merck secures the Mean Deviation of 1.29, risk adjusted performance of 0.2333, and Downside Deviation of 1.34. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Merck Company, as well as the relationship between them.
Merck Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Merck, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to MerckMerck's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Merck Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 124.88 | Strong Buy | 26 | Odds |
Most Merck analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Merck stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Merck Company, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Merck conference calls.
Is Pharmaceuticals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Merck. Expected growth trajectory for Merck significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Merck assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.19) | Dividend Share 3.24 | Earnings Share 7.28 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.05 |
Understanding Merck Company requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Merck's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Merck's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Merck's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Merck's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Merck represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Merck's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Merck 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Merck's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Merck.
| 11/20/2025 |
| 02/18/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Merck on November 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Merck Company or generate 0.0% return on investment in Merck over 90 days. Merck is related to or competes with Cencora, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, IDEXX Laboratories, Haleon Plc, Cigna Corp, Elevance Health, and Becton Dickinson. Merck Co., Inc. operates as a healthcare company worldwide More
Merck Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Merck's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Merck Company upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2544 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.74 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.98) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.93 |
Merck Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Merck's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Merck's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Merck historical prices to predict the future Merck's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2333 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4313 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3685 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.3083 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.7805 |
Merck February 18, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2333 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.7905 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.0 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 348.4 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Variance | 2.64 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2544 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4313 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3685 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.3083 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.7805 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.74 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.98) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.93 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.8 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.0 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.59) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2221 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.4137 |
Merck Company Backtested Returns
Merck appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Merck Company has Sharpe Ratio of 0.27, which conveys that the firm had a 0.27 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Merck, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Merck's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2333, downside deviation of 1.34, and Mean Deviation of 1.29 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Merck holds a performance score of 21. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.58, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Merck's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Merck is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Merck's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Merck's current price movements will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.83 |
Very good predictability
Merck Company has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Merck time series from 20th of November 2025 to 4th of January 2026 and 4th of January 2026 to 18th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Merck Company price movement. The serial correlation of 0.83 indicates that around 83.0% of current Merck price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.83 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.43 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 24.57 |
Merck technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Merck Company Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Merck Company volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Merck Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Merck Company on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Merck Company based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Merck Company price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Merck Company. By analyzing Merck's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Merck's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Merck specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0262 | 0.0311 | 0.0312 | 0.0238 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.73 | 3.93 | 4.06 | 4.53 |
Merck February 18, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Merck help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Merck from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Merck charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2333 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.7905 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.0 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 348.4 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Variance | 2.64 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2544 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4313 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3685 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.3083 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.7805 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.74 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.98) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.93 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.8 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.0 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.59) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2221 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.4137 |
Merck February 18, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Merck stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 183,383 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.07 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 121.94 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 121.82 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.29) |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Merck Company. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Pharmaceuticals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Merck. Expected growth trajectory for Merck significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Merck assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.19) | Dividend Share 3.24 | Earnings Share 7.28 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.05 |
Understanding Merck Company requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Merck's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Merck's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Merck's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Merck's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Merck represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Merck's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.