Microsoft (Chile) Technical Analysis

MSFT Stock  USD 411.58  18.52  4.31%   
As of the 5th of February, Microsoft secures the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.19), mean deviation of 0.8174, and Standard Deviation of 1.52. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Microsoft, as well as the relationship between them.

Microsoft Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Microsoft, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Microsoft
  
Microsoft's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Understanding that Microsoft's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Microsoft represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Microsoft's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.

Microsoft 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Microsoft's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Microsoft.
0.00
11/07/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
02/05/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Microsoft on November 7, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Microsoft or generate 0.0% return on investment in Microsoft over 90 days. Microsoft is related to or competes with Aguas Andinas, Parq Arauco, Enel Generacin, Sociedad Matriz, and Empresa Nacional. Microsoft Corporation develops, licenses, and supports software, services, devices, and solutions worldwide More

Microsoft Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Microsoft's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Microsoft upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Microsoft Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Microsoft's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Microsoft's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Microsoft historical prices to predict the future Microsoft's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
410.01411.58413.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
368.88370.45452.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
402.49404.06405.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
421.53459.43497.33
Details

Microsoft February 5, 2026 Technical Indicators

Microsoft Backtested Returns

Microsoft has Sharpe Ratio of -0.26, which conveys that the firm had a -0.26 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Microsoft exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Microsoft's Standard Deviation of 1.52, mean deviation of 0.8174, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.19) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.3, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Microsoft are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Microsoft is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Microsoft has a negative expected return of -0.41%. Please make sure to verify Microsoft's jensen alpha, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to decide if Microsoft performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.52  

Modest predictability

Microsoft has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Microsoft time series from 7th of November 2025 to 22nd of December 2025 and 22nd of December 2025 to 5th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Microsoft price movement. The serial correlation of 0.52 indicates that about 52.0% of current Microsoft price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.52
Spearman Rank Test-0.11
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance387.95
Microsoft technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Microsoft technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Microsoft trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Microsoft Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was fifty with a total number of output elements of eleven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Microsoft volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About Microsoft Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Microsoft on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Microsoft based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Microsoft price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Microsoft. By analyzing Microsoft's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Microsoft's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Microsoft specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Microsoft February 5, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Microsoft help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Microsoft from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Microsoft charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Microsoft February 5, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Microsoft stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Microsoft Stock

When determining whether Microsoft is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Microsoft Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Microsoft Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Microsoft Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Microsoft. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
To learn how to invest in Microsoft Stock, please use our How to Invest in Microsoft guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Understanding that Microsoft's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Microsoft represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Microsoft's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.