Natural Alternatives International Stock Technical Analysis
| NAII Stock | USD 2.67 -0.07 -2.55% |
As of the 8th of May, shares of Natural Alternatives change hands at 2.67 per share. Momentum and volatility readings indicate Mean Deviation of 2.66, risk adjusted performance of -0.07, and Standard Deviation of 4.71. The system measures statistical relationships between price fluctuations and trading activity. Indicator values are assessed relative to historical performance bands.
Natural Alternatives Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Natural, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to NaturalNatural |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 74.1% | Earnings Share -2.05 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 2.1% | Return On Assets |
Natural Alternatives can be assessed through both market valuation and accounting book value, which often tell different stories. Natural Alternatives' market capitalization is 16.92 million. A P/B ratio of 0.25 suggests Natural Alternatives trades near or below book value. Enterprise value (TTM) stands at 74.75 million. Estimated intrinsic value for Natural Alternatives draws on fundamentals that market price alone does not fully capture.
Natural Alternatives intrinsic value attempts to capture underlying worth, separate from current trading levels. For Natural Alternatives, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 13.08, a P/B ratio of 0.25, a profit margin of -11.0%, and ROE of -22.0%.
What-If Analysis
Backtesting a what-if scenario on Natural Alternatives International shows how the stock may have behaved if the position had been entered, held, or resized under different historical assumptions. In practice, this review provides context for deciding whether Natural Alternatives' historical reward profile was stable enough to support the current thesis.
| 02/07/2026 |
| 05/08/2026 |
A 0.00 entry into Natural Alternatives on February 7, 2026 held to the present would record 0.00 in cumulative gains. The outcome is a 0.0% return on investment in Natural Alternatives for the period over the 90 day interval. Natural Alternatives is often compared with Planet Green, Bon Natural, Marwynn Holdings, Healthy Choice, Mannatech Incorporated, Skillful Craftsman, and Willamette Valley based on sector and business overlap. Natural Alternatives International, Inc. engages in formulating, manufacturing, and marketing nutritional supplements in... More
Momentum Range Indicators for Natural Alternatives Summary
The momentum profile for Natural Alternatives describes how price movement distributes across upside and downside channels. Current price is compared to recent trend direction and momentum readings.
| Information Ratio | -0.08 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 29.86 | |||
| Value At Risk | -4.93 | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.48 |
Market Risk Indicators for Natural Alternatives Signals
The risk context for Natural Alternatives is expressed through volatility and drawdown-related metrics. Drawdown depth and frequency distinguish between volatile-but-recoverable and structurally declining price behavior.| Risk Adjusted Performance | -0.07 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | -0.39 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | -0.38 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3106 |
The mean reversion principle applied to Natural Alternatives' suggests that neither prolonged outperformance nor underperformance is permanent. Identifying the root cause of Natural Alternatives' price dislocation is essential before acting on a mean reversion signal. The mean reversion tendency in Natural Alternatives' price is a well-documented phenomenon in academic research. In many cases, Natural Alternatives' price extremes present statistical patterns that have recurred historically.
Technical Indicators
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| Risk Adjusted Performance | -0.07 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3206 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.66 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | -1,252 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.71 | |||
| Variance | 22.17 | |||
| Information Ratio | -0.08 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | -0.39 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | -0.38 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3106 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 29.86 | |||
| Value At Risk | -4.93 | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.48 | |||
| Skewness | -2.99 | |||
| Kurtosis | 15.9 |
Natural Alternatives Backtested Returns
Natural Alternatives presents a very high risk exposure within the defined horizon. It has a Sharpe Ratio of -0.0437, which indicates that -0.0437 units of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We identified twenty-three technical indicators supporting this volatility profile. Please review metrics such as mean deviation of 2.66, risk-adjusted performance of -0.07, and standard deviation of 4.71 to review dispersion measures. The company maintains a Market Sensitivity (Beta) of -1.24, which means elevated sensitivity to broad market movements. Natural Alternatives moves sharply against the market - falling in rallies and rising during broad selloffs. At this point, Natural Alternatives has a negative expected return of -0.19%.
Auto-correlation | 0.18 |
Very weak predictability
The autocorrelation profile for Natural Alternatives International registers very weak predictability between the two measured intervals. When lagged price patterns show consistency, they can serve as a partial input for modeling Natural Alternatives's near-term price behavior. A serial correlation of 0.18 indicates that over 18.0% of current Natural Alternatives price fluctuations can be explained by its historical price movements.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.18 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.1 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Price behavior for Natural Alternatives is studied within a technical framework. The model references indicators tied to price trends and momentum.
Technical Analysis
This analysis covers thirty-seven data points across the selected time horizon. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Natural Alternatives volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
Technical Analysis Methodology & Indicators
Technical analysis of Natural Alternatives evaluates price structure, momentum, and volatility clustering. Volatility compression can precede expansion in dispersion regimes. Natural Alternatives has a market cap of 16.92 million, P/E of 13.08, ROE of -16.75%.
Natural Alternatives International data is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability.
Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Michael Smolkin, Member of Macroaxis Board of Directors
Technical Indicators
Technical analysis of Natural Alternatives International is useful because it frames whether the current trend still looks durable or is beginning to weaken. A disciplined technical workflow separates stronger setups from noisier price action.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | -0.07 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3206 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.66 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | -1,252 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.71 | |||
| Variance | 22.17 | |||
| Information Ratio | -0.08 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | -0.39 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | -0.38 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3106 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 29.86 | |||
| Value At Risk | -4.93 | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.48 | |||
| Skewness | -2.99 | |||
| Kurtosis | 15.9 |
May 8, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Technical analysis of Natural Alternatives International is useful because it frames whether the current trend still looks durable or is beginning to weaken. A disciplined technical workflow separates stronger setups from noisier price action.
| Accumulation Distribution | 215.80 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -0.54 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | ||
| Day Median Price | 2.74 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 2.71 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.10 |
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