Orix Corporation Stock Technical Analysis

ORXCF Stock  USD 32.50  2.20  7.26%   
As of the 4th of February, ORIX holds the coefficient of variation of 441.38, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1733. Concerning fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check practical technical drivers of ORIX, as well as the relationship between them. Please check ORIX standard deviation and maximum drawdown to decide if ORIX is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 32.5 per share. Given that ORIX has total risk alpha of 0.4047, we recommend you to check out ORIX's recent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at some point in the future.

ORIX Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as ORIX, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to ORIX
  
ORIX's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
It's important to distinguish between ORIX's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding ORIX should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, ORIX's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.

ORIX 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ORIX's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ORIX.
0.00
11/06/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/04/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in ORIX on November 6, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ORIX Corporation or generate 0.0% return on investment in ORIX over 90 days. ORIX is related to or competes with ABN AMRO, First Citizens, Banco Do, Nomura Holdings, Banco Bpm, China International, and AIB Group. ORIX Corporation provides diversified financial services in Japan, the Americas, Asia, Europe, Australasia, the Middle E... More

ORIX Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ORIX's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ORIX Corporation upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

ORIX Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ORIX's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ORIX's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ORIX historical prices to predict the future ORIX's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ORIX's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.9932.5035.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.2535.8938.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.6933.2035.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.8729.6831.48
Details

ORIX February 4, 2026 Technical Indicators

ORIX Backtested Returns

ORIX appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. ORIX maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.21, which implies the firm had a 0.21 % return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. By inspecting ORIX's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.53% is justified by implied risk. Please evaluate ORIX's coefficient of variation of 441.38, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1733 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, ORIX holds a performance score of 16. The company holds a Beta of 0.0634, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, ORIX's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding ORIX is expected to be smaller as well. Please check ORIX's total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and price action indicator , to make a quick decision on whether ORIX's historical price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.54  

Modest predictability

ORIX Corporation has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ORIX time series from 6th of November 2025 to 21st of December 2025 and 21st of December 2025 to 4th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ORIX price movement. The serial correlation of 0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current ORIX price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.54
Spearman Rank Test0.69
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.71
ORIX technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of ORIX technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of ORIX trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

ORIX Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of ORIX volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About ORIX Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of ORIX Corporation on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of ORIX Corporation based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on ORIX price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding ORIX. By analyzing ORIX's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of ORIX's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to ORIX specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

ORIX February 4, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of ORIX help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ORIX from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze ORIX charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

ORIX February 4, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as ORIX stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for ORIX Pink Sheet analysis

When running ORIX's price analysis, check to measure ORIX's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ORIX is operating at the current time. Most of ORIX's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ORIX's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ORIX's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ORIX to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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