Paychex (Germany) Technical Analysis

PCX Stock  EUR 85.67  0.03  0.04%   
As of the 29th of January, Paychex holds the Coefficient Of Variation of (420.46), variance of 1.94, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.17). Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Paychex, as well as the relationship between them. Please check Paychex information ratio, potential upside, and the relationship between the standard deviation and maximum drawdown to decide if Paychex is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 85.67 per share.

Paychex Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Paychex, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Paychex
  
Paychex's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
It's important to distinguish between Paychex's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Paychex should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Paychex's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.

Paychex 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Paychex's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Paychex.
0.00
10/31/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
01/29/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Paychex on October 31, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Paychex or generate 0.0% return on investment in Paychex over 90 days. Paychex is related to or competes with SmarTone Telecommunicatio, PLAY2CHILL, CITIC Telecom, COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR, PLAYTIKA HOLDING, and Chengdu PUTIAN. Paychex, Inc. provides integrated human capital management solutions for payroll, benefits, human resource , retirement,... More

Paychex Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Paychex's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Paychex upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Paychex Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Paychex's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Paychex's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Paychex historical prices to predict the future Paychex's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
84.3085.6787.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
68.0269.3994.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
82.2283.5984.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
86.6092.4998.38
Details

Paychex January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators

Paychex Backtested Returns

Paychex maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.17, which implies the firm had a -0.17 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Paychex exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Paychex's Coefficient Of Variation of (420.46), risk adjusted performance of (0.17), and Variance of 1.94 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.32, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Paychex's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Paychex is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Paychex has a negative expected return of -0.24%. Please make sure to check Paychex's kurtosis, day median price, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and market facilitation index , to decide if Paychex performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.50  

Modest predictability

Paychex has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Paychex time series from 31st of October 2025 to 15th of December 2025 and 15th of December 2025 to 29th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Paychex price movement. The serial correlation of 0.5 indicates that about 50.0% of current Paychex price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.5
Spearman Rank Test0.6
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance10.92
Paychex technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Paychex technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Paychex trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Paychex Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Paychex across different markets.

About Paychex Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Paychex on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Paychex based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Paychex price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Paychex. By analyzing Paychex's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Paychex's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Paychex specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Paychex January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Paychex help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Paychex from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Paychex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Paychex January 29, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Paychex stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for Paychex Stock analysis

When running Paychex's price analysis, check to measure Paychex's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Paychex is operating at the current time. Most of Paychex's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Paychex's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Paychex's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Paychex to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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