Paychex Valuation

PCX Stock  EUR 80.03  5.14  6.86%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Paychex holds a recent Real Value of €67.58 per share. The prevailing price of the company is €80.03. Our model determines the value of Paychex from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.41, shares outstanding of 358.97 M, and Operating Margin of 0.42 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Price Book
8.0989
Enterprise Value
29.9 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
13.2464
Price Sales
4.4553
Forward PE
15.7978
Overvalued
Today
80.03
Please note that Paychex's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Paychex is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Paychex's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Paychex stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Paychex. Since Paychex is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Paychex Stock. However, Paychex's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  80.03 Real  67.58 Hype  74.47 Naive  74.11
The real value of Paychex Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Paychex Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Paychex's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Paychex's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
67.58
Real Value
82.38
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Paychex helps investors to forecast how Paychex stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Paychex more accurately as focusing exclusively on Paychex's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.760.800.82
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
72.7374.4776.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
72.3674.1175.85
Details

Paychex Cash

1.97 Billion

Paychex Total Value Analysis

Paychex is at this time estimated to have takeover price of 29.91 B with market capitalization of 26.88 B, debt of 418.4 M, and cash on hands of 712.6 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Paychex fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
29.91 B
26.88 B
418.4 M
712.6 M

Paychex Investor Information

About 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.65. Paychex last dividend was issued on the 28th of January 2026. Based on the key measurements obtained from Paychex's financial statements, Paychex is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities1.5 B2.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income1.7 B2.5 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile

Paychex Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Paychex has an asset utilization ratio of 33.64 percent. This implies that the Company is making €0.34 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Paychex is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Paychex Profitability Analysis

Based on the key profitability measurements obtained from Paychex's financial statements, Paychex may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Paychex's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2017-02-28
Previous Quarter
383.8 M
Current Value
395.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
89.3 M
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
The current Gross Profit is estimated to decrease to about 3.1 B
For Paychex profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Paychex to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Paychex utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Paychex's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Paychex over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Paychex Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

By analyzing Paychex's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Paychex's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current EPS estimates against different timeframes. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Paychex is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Paychex is projected to generate 0.8 in earnings per share on the 31st of August 2021. Paychex earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Paychex EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Paychex's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Paychex, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Paychex Ownership Allocation

Paychex owns a total of 358.97 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Paychex outstanding shares are owned by third-party entities. These institutional holders are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to secure positions in Paychex to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Paychex. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Paychex as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company maintains, if the real value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Paychex Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 5.57 B. Net Income was 1.66 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.43 B.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Paychex's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Paychex and how it compares across the competition.

About Paychex Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Paychex's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Paychex. We calculate exposure to Paychex's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Paychex's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit4.6 B3.1 B

Paychex Quarterly Retained Earnings

1.95 Billion

Complementary Tools for Paychex Stock analysis

When running Paychex's price analysis, check to measure Paychex's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Paychex is operating at the current time. Most of Paychex's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Paychex's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Paychex's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Paychex to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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